Key Updates: Tariff Implementation on Schedule, War’s Uncertain End, Rare Mineral Agreement Today, and Federal Reserve’s Concerns

  • ពន្ធគយ៖ ប្រធានាធិបតីលោក Donald Trump បានបញ្ជាក់ជាថ្មីម្តងទៀតនៅលើប្រព័ន្ធផ្សព្វផ្សាយសង្គមរបស់គាត់កាលពីយប់មិញដោយលើកឡើងថា លោកនឹងដាក់ពន្ធចំនួន 25% លើប្រទេសម៉ិកស៊ិក និងកាណាដាទៅតាមកាលកំណត់ពោលគឺត្រូវនឹងថ្ងៃទី 4 ខែមីនា។ ស្របពេលលោកក៏បានដាក់ពន្ធបន្ថែមចំនួន 10% លើប្រទេសចិននៅក្នុងថ្ងៃដដែលនោះដែរ។ លើសពីនេះទៅទៀត ពន្ធគយនឹងចូលជាធរមានជាលើកទី2 នៅថ្ងៃទី ០២ ខែមេសា។ 
  • នាយករដ្ឋមន្រ្តីអង់គ្លេសកំពុងព្យាយាមបញ្ចុះបញ្ចូលលោកប្រធានាធិបតី Trump លើការមិនដាក់ពន្ធទៅលើសេដ្ឋកិច្ចចក្រភពអង់គ្លេស។ នេះមិនទាន់មានកិច្ចព្រមព្រៀងណាមួយត្រូវបានបញ្ជាក់នៅឡើយទេ ប៉ុន្តែលោក Trump ហាក់ដូចជាមានសម្ព័ន្ធមិត្តវិជ្ជមានជាមួយចក្រភពអង់គ្លេសប្រសិនបើយោងតាមការលើកឡើងរបស់លោក។ នេះក៏មានន័យថា លោកនាយករដ្ឋមន្ត្រីអង់គ្លេសនៅតែមានឱកាសក្នុងការចរចាជាមួយនឹងលោក Trump​ នោះដែរ។
  • សង្គ្រាមអ៊ុយក្រែន-រុស្ស៊ី៖ លោក Trump បានបង្ហាញភាពមិនប្រាកដប្រជាក្នុងការបញ្ចប់សង្រ្គាមដោយនិយាយថា “វានឹងមានភាពយុត្តិធម៌(អាចនឹងបញ្ចប់សង្គ្រាម)ក្នុងពេលឆាប់ៗនេះ ឬគ្មានតែម្តង”។
  • គួររំលឹកផងដែរ លោក Trump នឹងបើកកិច្ចប្រជុំនៅសេតវិមាន ទាក់ទងនឹងកិច្ចព្រមព្រៀងចុងក្រោយនៃរ៉ែដ៏កម្រជាមួយនាយករដ្ឋមន្រ្តីអ៊ុយក្រែននៅម៉ោង ១១ យប់ ម៉ោងនៅកម្ពុជា។ នេះ​អាច​ត្រូវ​បាន​គេ​មើល​ឃើញ​ថា​ជា​កិច្ច​ព្រមព្រៀង​មួយ​ដែល​មិន​អាច​បដិសេធ​បាន ដើម្បីរក្សា​សន្តិភាព​នៅ​អ៊ុយក្រែន។ 
  • សមាជិកធនាគារកណ្តាលលោក Harker មានក្តីបារម្ភលើបញ្ហាអតិផរណា (សង្គ្រាមពាណិជ្ជកម្ម) និងសក្តានុពលនៃអត្រាគ្មានការងារធ្វើខ្ពស់ជាងមុន (ការបណ្តេញចេញឬបញ្ឈប់ការងារពីលោក Trump) ។ ទាំងពីរកំពុងបង្កើតសេណារីយ៉ូ stagflation – កំណើនយឺត / ការធ្លាក់ចុះសេដ្ឋកិច្ច ជាមួយនឹងអតិផរណាខ្ពស់។

|English Version|

  • Tariff: President Donald Trump confirmed once again on his social media last night, citing that he will impose a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada according to “schedule (March 4)” while adding an additional 10% tariff on China. Moreover, the 2nd reciprocal tariff will go into “full force” on April 02. 
    • Prime Minister of the UK is seeking a “no tariff” on their economy from Trump. No agreement has been confirmed yet, but Trump is a strong positive ally of the UK. 
    • Ukraine-Russia: Trump hinted at uncertainty to ending the war by saying, “It’ll either be fairly soon or not at all”.
    • Reminder, Trump will hold a meeting at the White House regarding the rare mineral final agreement with Prime Minister of Ukraine at 11 PM Cambodia time. This could be seen as an agreement that could not be refused in exchange for peace in Ukraine. 
      • Federal Reserve Harker: Concern over both the inflation problem (trade war) and potential of a higher unemployment rate (firing from Trump’s initiative). Both pose a stagflation scenario—a slow growth/recession with high inflation.

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