Trump’s Trade: Tariff Shifts, Federal Reserve’s Response, and Greenland Ambitions.

ពន្ធគយរបស់ប្រទេសចិនអាចនឹងត្រូវបានបន្ទាប 

លោកប្រធានាធិបតី Donald Trump អាចនឹងពិចារណាកាត់បន្ថយពន្ធលើប្រទេសចិន ស្របពេលដែលទាមទារទៅលើការគាំទ្រទៅលើការលក់ប្រតិបត្តិការរបស់អាមេរិកក្នុង ByteDance Ltd.​ មកកាន់ក្រុមហ៊ុនអាមេរិក​ នេះបើយោងតាមប្រភព Bloomberg ។ ទោះបីជាប្រទេសចិនមិនបានឆ្លើយតបភ្លាមៗទៅនឹងការអត្ថាធិប្បាយរបស់គាត់ក៏ដោយ ប៉ុន្តែមនុស្សជាច្រើនកំពុងរំពឹងយ៉ាងខ្លាំងថា ប្រសិនបើប្រទេសចិនពិតជាយល់ព្រមចំពោះសំណើនេះ នោះវានឹងផ្តល់នូវ “សញ្ញាអាក្រក់” ដូចដែលបានលើកឡើងដោយលោក Josef Gregory Mahoney សាស្ត្រាចារ្យផ្នែកទំនាក់ទំនងអន្តរជាតិនៅសាកលវិទ្យាល័យ East China Normal University របស់ទីក្រុងសៀងហៃ។ នេះក៏មាន​ន័យ​ថា​វា​អាច​បង្កើត​ការ​ប្រកួត​ប្រជែង​កាន់​តែ​ខ្លាំង​ជាង​អ្វីដែលប្រទេសចិនកំពុងមាន​រួច​ទៅហើយ។ 

ពន្ធទៅលើគ្រឿងយន្តនឹងចូលជាធរមាននៅថ្ងៃទី 02 ខែមេសា

លោក Trump ក៏បានប្រកាសពីការអនុវត្តពន្ធ 25% លើរថយន្តទាំងអស់ដែលមិនត្រូវបានផលិតនៅក្នុងសហរដ្ឋអាមេរិក ហើយនឹងចូលជាធរមាននៅថ្ងៃទី 02 ខែមេសា។ គោលដៅចម្បងគឺ ដើម្បីបង្ខំឱ្យក្រុមហ៊ុនធំ ៗ ផ្លាស់ទីផលិតកម្មរបស់ពួកគេនិងជំរុញការបង្កើតការងារបន្ថែមទៀតនៅក្នុងសហរដ្ឋអាមេរិក។ ពោលគឺពួកគេមានជម្រើសពីរ គឺការផ្លាស់ទីផលិតកម្ម ឬក៏ប្រឈមមុខនឹងពន្ធខ្ពស់។ ទាំងពីរជម្រើសនេះសុទ្ធតែអាចចាត់ជាចំណូលសម្រាប់សហរដ្ឋអាមេរិកបាន លុះត្រាតែពួកគេបានរកឃើញនូវទីផ្សារថ្មី។ យ៉ាងណាក៏ដោយសម្រាប់សហភាពអឺរ៉ុបវិញ លោក Trump នៅតែនិយាយដដែលៗនូវសេចក្តីថ្លែងការណ៍របស់គាត់ស្តីពីការធ្វើបាបដោយ EU ពោលនេះក៏បានបង្ហាញថា ការចរចារវាងប្រទេសទាំងពីរអាចនឹងពិបាក។ ជាក់ស្តែង សូម្បីតែមន្ត្រីកំពូលៗរបស់សហភាពអឺរ៉ុប ក៏រំពឹងថានឹងសេដ្ឋកិច្ចពួកគេអាចនឹងប្រឈមមុខនឹងការដាក់ពន្ធ 20% ពីលោក Trump ដែរ នេះបើយោងតាមកាសែត Financial Times ។

ហ្គ្រីនឡែន 

ប្រធានាធិបតី ដូណាល់ ត្រាំ នៅតែព្យាយាមចង់គ្រប់ដណ្តប់ Greenland ដើម្បីជាប្រយោជន៍ដល់សន្តិសុខអន្តរជាតិ។

ធនាគារកណ្តាលអាមេរិក

ធនាគារកណ្តាលអាមេរិកនៅតែបញ្ជាក់សារជាថ្មីថាសេដ្ឋកិច្ចអាមេរិកនៅឆ្ងាយពីវិបត្តិសេដ្ឋកិច្ច ហើយពួកគេនៅតែបេជ្ញាចិត្តក្នុងការបន្ទាបអត្រាអតិផរណាមកត្រឹមកម្រិតគោលដៅ នេះបើយោងតាមសមាជិកធនាគារកណ្តាលអាមេរិកលោក ​​Musalem។ នេះក៏មានន័យថាពួកគេនៅតែបើកចំហចំពោះការដំឡើងអត្រាការប្រាក់បន្ថែមទៀត ប្រសិនបើអតិផរណាផ្លាស់ទីលើសពី 2% ។ លើសពីនេះ លោកក៏បានលើកឡើងថា អាជីវកម្មខ្នាតតូចមួយចំនួននៅតែស្ទាក់ស្ទើរក្នុងការជ្រើសរើសបុគ្គលិក និងការវិនិយោគបន្ថែមទៀត។ យោងតាមឧបករណ៍ CME Fedwatch ឥឡូវនេះវិនិយោគិនជឿជាក់ថាអាចនឹងមានភាគរយក្នុងការដំឡើងអត្រាការប្រាក់ដូចគ្នា។

|English Version|

Possible Tariff Reduction on China 

Trump might consider reducing the tariff on China in exchange for Beijing’s support on the sale of US operations of ByteDance Ltd., as per a Bloomberg source. Although China has not immediately responded back to his earlier comment, many are highly anticipating that if China really agrees to this request, then this sends a “bad signal,” as stated by Josef Gregory Mahoney, a professor of international relations at Shanghai’s East China Normal University. Meaning that this might create even more fierce competition than we already had in the competitive industry and hostility from one firm to another. 

Auto Tariff will come into effect on April 02

Trump also announced his motive for implementing a 25% tariff on all cars that are not made in the United States, which will come into effect on April 02 while collecting on April 03. The goal is to force major companies to move their production and stimulate more job creation in the US. Either you move or you will be faced with high tariffs; all will become revenue for the US unless you find other stream markets. Yet, for the EU, Trump still repeated his statement on being mistreated by the EU, which having exemption or negotiation would be far off from the table. In fact, even top EU officials also anticipate a 20% tariff coming from Trump, as per the Financial Times. 

Greenland 

President Donald Trump is still pestering to take over Greenland for the sake of international security. 

Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve is still reaffirming that the US economy is far off from the recession or even the stagflation, yet remains committed toward bringing the inflation down to the restrictive level, as per the FED’s Musalem. This also means that they are still open to more interest rate hikes if the inflation moves far beyond the 2%. While he is also addressing a freezing of hiring and investing from the small businesses. As per CME Fedwatch tool, the odds now open on range of 450-475 after the statement, addressing on having a slight hawkish tone. 

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