Under one Scope: US Inflation, Canada Rate Cut, and EU-US Trade

អតិផរណារបស់សហរដ្ឋអាមេរិក៖ ទោះបីជាអតិផរណារបស់សហរដ្ឋអាមេរិកមានកម្រិតទាបជាងទិន្នន័យរំពឹងទុកក៏ដោយ — ពោលវាបណ្តាលមកពីការធ្លាក់ចុះនៃតម្រូវការធ្វើដំណើរ និងភាពទន់ខ្សោយនៃទីផ្សារលំនៅឋានបច្ចុប្បន្ន — ក៏តម្លៃស៊ុតនៅតែកើនឡើងយ៉ាងខ្លាំងនោះដែរ។ នេះបង្ហាញថា ការចំណាយរបស់អ្នកប្រើប្រាស់នៅតែត្រូវបានរំខាន ហើយតម្លៃទំនិញនៅតែជាបញ្ហា។ ជាពិសេសនៅពេលដែលឥទ្ធិពលពន្ធរបស់លោកប្រធានាធិបតី Trump នៅតែអាចបន្តជះប៉ះពាល់ទៅលើសេដ្ឋកិច្ច។ ដូច្នេះហើយបានជា មនុស្សជាច្រើននៅតែជឿថាទិន្នន័យថ្មីៗនេះអាចជាការធ្លាក់ចុះរយៈពេលខ្លី ជាជាងការធ្លាក់ចុះក្នុងរយៈពេលវែង។ ជាលទ្ធផល ទីផ្សារចំនួន 90% នៅតែជឿជាក់ថាអត្រាការប្រាក់អាចនឹងរក្សាក្នុងកម្រិតដដែលនៅសប្តាហ៍ក្រោយរហូតដល់ពាក់កណ្តាលឆ្នាំនេះ។

ធនាគារកាណាដា៖ ធនាគារកាណាដាបានសម្រេចចិត្តកាត់បន្ថយអត្រាការប្រាក់មកត្រឹម 2.75% តាមការរំពឹងទុក ដោយលើកឡើងថា “ឥឡូវនេះយើងកំពុងប្រឈមមុខនឹងវិបត្តិថ្មីមួយ” ចំពេល​មាន​ភាព​មិន​ប្រាកដប្រជា​ទាក់ទង​នឹង​សង្គ្រាម​ពាណិជ្ជកម្ម​ជាមួយ​អាមេរិក។ ភាពតានតឹងពន្ធនេះទំនងជាបង្កឱ្យមានការកើនឡើងនៃទិន្នន័យអតិផរណា ខណៈពេលដែលបង្កហានិភ័យយ៉ាងធ្ងន់ធ្ងរដល់ការចំណាយរបស់អ្នកប្រើប្រាស់ ការងារ និងកំណើនសេដ្ឋកិច្ចរបស់ប្រទេសកាណាដា។ ហេតុនេះហើយបានជា ធនាគារកណ្តាលបានសម្រេចចិត្តលើការកាត់បន្ថយអត្រាការប្រាក់នេះ ពោលគឺក្នុងគោលបំណងស្រោចស្រង់លើកំណើនសេដ្ឋកិច្ច។ លើសពីនេះ រដ្ឋមន្ត្រីហិរញ្ញវត្ថុកាណាដាក៏បានសម្តែងការប្តេជ្ញាចិត្តក្នុងការចូលរួមក្នុងកិច្ចពិភាក្សាបន្ថែមទៀតជាមួយសហរដ្ឋអាមេរិក ក្នុងគោលបំណងបន្ធូរបន្ថយពន្ធពីសហរដ្ឋអាមេរិក។ ប្រសិនបើពួកគេអាចបញ្ចុះបញ្ចូលអាមេរិកបាន នោះបញ្ហាអត្រាអតិផរណាក៏អាចនឹងថយចុះបន្តិចផងដែរ។ 

ពាណិជ្ជកម្មអឺរ៉ូ-អាមេរិក៖ បន្ទាប់ពីការអនុវត្តពន្ធ 25% លើដែកថែប និងអាលុយមីញ៉ូម ភាពតានតឹងពាណិជ្ជកម្មរវាងសហភាពអឺរ៉ុប និងអាមេរិកកាន់តែតានតឹងឡើង។ សហភាពអឺរ៉ុបគ្រោងនឹងដាក់ពន្ធលើទំនិញអាមេរិកដែលមានតម្លៃ 26 ពាន់លានអឺរ៉ូ (ប្រហែល 28.31 ពាន់លានដុល្លារ) ចាប់ពីខែក្រោយ។ ជាការឆ្លើយតប ប្រធានាធិបតី Trump បានប្រកាសពីចេតនាក្នុងការអនុវត្តពន្ធសងសឹក ទោះបីជាព័ត៌មានលម្អិតជាក់លាក់អំពីវិធានការនេះមិនទាន់ត្រូវបានបញ្ជាក់ឱ្យច្បាស់លាស់ក៏ដោយ។

|English Version|

US Inflation Headline: Although US inflation was lower than anticipated—primarily due to a decline in travel demand and a weakening housing market—egg prices have still risen significantly. This indicates that consumer spending is still disrupted by higher costs of living. Especially when the tariff effect has not fully been felt yet, many still believe that the recent figure might be a short-dip instead of a downtrend in inflation. As a result, the odds of more than 90% standing on holding the interest rate next week until mid-year. 

    The Bank of Canada: The Bank of Canada decided to reduce the interest rate to 2.75% this meeting as expected, citing that “we’re now facing a new crisis,” amid uncertainties related to the trade war with the US. This tariff tension is likely to trigger an inflation shock while posing serious risks to Canada’s consumer spending, employment, and economic growth. Therefore, this is a call for last night’s cut. Furthermore, the Canadian finance minister has also expressed a commitment to engaging in further discussions with the US, seeking relief from US tariffs. If the US can be persuaded, the potential for tariff-induced inflation may decrease, although the impact is expected to be limited.

      EU-US trade: Following the implementation of a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum, trade tensions between the EU and the US have intensified. The EU plans to impose tariffs on US goods valued at €26 billion (approximately $28.31 billion) starting next month. In response, President Trump announced intentions to implement retaliatory tariffs, although specific details on the measures have yet to be clarified.

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