βοΈ αααααΉαααααΆαα– ISM Manufacturing Index ααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα α¬α’αΆα α αΆααα αΌαααΆαααααααΆαααααααα·α αα αααααΉαααα’ααααΎααΆααααααααα·ααααα’αααααααααααααααα»αααΆααααααΆαα·ααα ααΆααααα»αα αα»αααα·αααααααΆα 300 αααα»αα αα»αα– αααααααααααα·ααααα ISM α¬ PMI ααΆαααααααααΎααΆαααααΆααααααΌαααααα·αααα·ααααααα ααΌααΆααααααααα·α αα αα ααααα’αΆαααα·αααΈαα½ααααα αα½αααα– αααααααα»αααΆαααΎααα·αααααα PMI– ααααααααα PMIβ αααααααΌαααΆαα αΆαααα»αααΆααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα αααααΎααα½αααΆαααααΆαααααα»αααΆαααΆαααΆαααΈααααΆαααΆαααααααα·α αα ααΆααααααα αααααααΆαααααΆααααααΌααααααααΆαααα·αααααααΆααΉαααΆααα’αΆα αααα αΆαααΈααΆαααααΆααααααΌαααΆααααααΌααααΌααΆααα αααα»αααααααα·α αα α βοΈ ααααααααααΈ ISM Manufacturing IndexISM Manufacturing Index αααααααΌαααΆαααααααΆααααΆααΆ PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) ααΊααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα αααααααΌαααΆαααααΎααααΆαααααα»αααΆαααΆααααααααα»αααΆα αα·αααααΎαααΆααααα·αααααα·ααααααα αααα»αααααααα·α αα αααααααααααα½αα ααΆααααααΌαααΆαα αΆααα αΌαααΆαααααααΆαααααααα·α αα αααααΉαααα’ααααΎααΆααααααααα·ααααα’αααααααααααααααα»αααΆααααααΆαα·ααα ααΆααααα»αα αα»αααα·αααααααΆα 300 αααα»αα αα»αα ααΆαααααα ααα ααΆααααΆααααααααΌαααΆααααααΉαααααΆααααααα ααααααααααααααααααα·α αα αα·ααααΆααΆα αα·ααα·ααα ααΆααααΌαααα§ααααΆα ααααααα·ααααααααααα βοΈ ααΎ ISM Manufacturing Index ααΆαααααααααΎα’αααΈαααα? α αΎαα ααααααΆααααααααΆ αα·ααα αααααΆ?αααααααααααα·ααααα ISM α¬ PMI ααΆαααααααααΎααΆαααααΆααααααΌαααααα·αααα·ααααααα ααΌααΆααααααααα·α αα αα ααααα’αΆαααα·αααΈαα½ααααα αα½αααα αα·ααααααααααααααα ISMβ αααα ααααααΆαααα Institute for Supply Management (ISM) ααΆαααααΆαααααα α―αα ααααα’αΆαααα·αα ααΆαα ααααααΆααααααΊααΉαααα’ααααΎααΆααααααααα·ααααα’αααααααααααααααα»αααΆααααααΆαα·ααα αααα»αα§ααααΆα αααααααααα αααααΆααα½αααΈαα·αααααΆαααααΆαααααααααα·ααααα·ααΆαα’αΆααΈααααααααααα½αααα ααΆααααααΆ ααΆααααααααα·αααααΊααααααααααααΎααΆααααααΆαα·αααααΈ ααααα·αααα·ααααα ααΆαααΆα ααΆαα ααα αΆαααααα’ααααααααααααα αα·αααΆαααΎαααααααΆααΎαα ααΆαααααα ααα ααΆααααααα ααααΎααα αααα»αααΆααααααααα·ααα ααΊααααΌαααααΆααααΆααΎαα·αααααα·αααΆαααΆααααααΎαα‘αΎα α¬αα αααααα α¬ααΆαααααααΆαααααΊααααΆαααΆααΎαααααααααα ααΉααααα»αα βοΈ αααααααα»αααΆαααΎααα·αααααα PMIISM Manufacturing Index ααααΌαααΆαααααΆαααααΆαα ααααααα·αααααααααααααα· α αΎααααααααααΆαα ααΆααααααααααααα ααααα·αααΎαααΆαααΆααα PMIβ α ααααααΆαααααααΎ α¬ααΎαααααααααα 50 ααΆααααααΆααΆαααα αΆαααΈααΆαααΈαα ααααΎααα αααα»ααα·αααααα·ααααααααα αααα»ααααα·α ααααα·αααΎαααΆαααΆααα PMIβ α ααααααΆααααααααααααααααα 50 αααααΆαααα αΆαααΈααΆαααααΆααα α»ααα αααα»ααα·αααααα·αααααα βοΈ ααΆααααααΆαααααααΆαααΆααααα·αααααα ISM Manufacturing Indexααααααααα PMI αααααααΌαααΆαα αΆαααα»αααΆααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα αααααΎααα½αααΆαααααΆαααααα»αααΆαααΆαααΆαααΈααααΆαααΆαααααααα·α αα ααΆααααααα αααααααΆαααααΆααααααΌααααααααΆαααα·αααααααΆααΉαααΆαα α’αΆα αααα αΆαααΈααΆαααααΆααααααΌαααΆααααααΌααααΌααΆααα αααα»αααααααα·α αα α ααΆα§ααΆα ααα αααααααααααα·ααααα ISM ααααααα»αααΎαα‘αΎαα’αΆα αααα αΆαααΈααΆαααΎαα‘αΎαααααΆαα αααΆαααααα’αααααααΎααααΆαα ααααΎαααααααα·α αα αα·αααΆααααααΎαααΆαααΆααααααΆααααααΆαα»αα αααααααααααααααααααΆααα α»αααΆααααα αΆαααΈααΆαααααΆααα α»αααααααα·α αα α | English Version |βοΈ Key takeaway– It is also an economic activity based on a survey of purchasing managers at more than 300 manufacturing firms.– The ISM manufacturing index or PMI measures the change in production levels across the U.S. economy from month to month.– How do we read PMI data– This index is considered a leading economic indicator because changes in manufacturing activity can often signal broader shifts in the economy. βοΈ Understanding ISM Manufacturing IndexThe ISM Manufacturing Index, also known as the PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) for Manufacturing, is a widely recognized economic indicator used to measure the health and performance of the manufacturing sector within a country’s economy. It is also an economic activity based on a survey of purchasing managers at more than 300 manufacturing firms. It provides valuable insights into the economic conditions, trends, and overall direction of the manufacturing industry. βοΈ What does the ISM Manufacturing Index measure? And normally released by who and when it is released?The ISM manufacturing index or PMI measures the change in production levels across the U.S. economy from month to month. The index is published by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) in the United States on a monthly basis. It is based on a survey of purchasing managers in various industries, asking them about key aspects of their business operations. The survey typically covers areas such as new orders, production levels, employment, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Respondents are asked to provide information on whether these aspects have improved, remained the same, or deteriorated compared to the previous month. βοΈ How do we read PMI data?The ISM Manufacturing Index is calculated by compiling the survey data and converting it into an index number. A reading above 50 typically indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector, as it suggests that more survey respondents are reporting growth and improvement compared to those reporting contraction. Conversely, a reading below 50 indicates contraction in the sector. βοΈ The Importance of ISM Manufacturing IndexThis index is considered a leading economic indicator because changes in manufacturing activity can often signal broader shifts in the economy. For example, a rising ISM Manufacturing Index may suggest increased consumer spending, economic growth, and potential job creation, while a falling index might indicate economic slowdown or recessionary pressures.
Understanding the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
βοΈ αααααΉαααααΆαα– ISM Non-Manufacturing Index ααΊααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα αααααααΌαααΆαααα½αααααΆαααααΆαααΌααααΌααΆααα αααα»ααα ααααα’αΆαααα·α αααααα’ααααΎααΆααααααααα·ααΈαααααΆαααα»αα αα»ααα·ααααααα·ααααα(α¬ααααΆαααα) ααΆα 400 αααα»αα αα»αααααααα·ααααα·ααΆααα·α αα·αααααααααααα– ISM Non-Manufacturing Index ααΆααααααααααααΆαα’αΆααΈααααα ααΆααααααΆαα·αααααΈ ααΆαααΆα ααΆαααΉααααααΌαααααα’ααααααααααααα ααααα·αααΆαααΎααααα αα·ααααααααααΆααααα– αααααααα»αααΆαααΎααα·αααααα PMI– ααααααααα PMIβ αααααααΌαααΆαα αΆαααα»αααΆααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα αααααΎααα½αααΆαααααΆαααααα»αααΆαααΆαααΆαααΈααααΆαααΆαααααααα·α αα ααΆααααααα αααααααΆαααααΆααααααΌααααααααΆαααα·αααααααΆααΉαααΆααα’αΆα αααα αΆαααΈααΆαααααΆααααααΌαααΆααααααΌααααΌααΆααα αααα»αααααααα·α αα α βοΈ ααααααααααΈ ISM Non-Manufacturing IndexISM Non-Manufacturing Index ααΊααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα αααααααΌαααΆαααα½αααααΆαααααΆαααΌααααΌααΆααα αααα»ααα ααααα’αΆαααα·α αααααα’ααααΎααΆααααααααα·ααΈαααααΆαααα»αα αα»ααα·ααααααα·ααααα (α¬ααααΆαααα) ααΆα 400 αααα»αα αα»αααααααα·ααααα·ααΆααα·α αα·αααααααααααα ααΆααΆααααααααα ααΎαααααααΆαααααααα·α αα αα·ααααααααααααΈααααΆααα αααα»ααα·ααααα·ααααααα·ααααα α¬ααααΆαααααα αααα»αααααααα αα·ααααααααΆααα αααα»α ISM Non-Manufacturing Index ααααα½αααΆα ααΆαααααΆααα»αααΆα ααΆαα’αααα α α·ααααααααα» ααΆααααααΆα ααΆαααΉααααααΌα αα·αααααΆαααααααααααααα βοΈ ααΎ ISM Non-Manufacturing Index ααΆαααααααααΎα’αααΈαααα? α αΎαα ααααααΆααααααααΆ αα·ααα αααααΆ?ISM Non-Manufacturing Index ααΆααααααααααΆαααΆαα»ααααΆααααα½αααΌα ααΆα– αααααααΆαα’αΆααΈαααααα αααα»ααααα αΆααααΈααααα·αααααααα·ααααα·ααΆαα’αΆααΈααααα αα·ααααααααΆααα αααα»ααα·αααααααΆααααα– ααΆααααααΆαα·αααααΈα ααΆαααααααααααΌαααΆααααααΆααααααΆααααααααΈ αα·αα ααα’α»ααααα αΆαααΆααΎααΆαααΆαααΎαα‘αΎα α¬ααα α»αααααΆααααααΆαα·αα αΌαα– ααΆαααΆαα ααΆαααααααααΎααΆαααααΆααααααΌαααααα·αααΆαααΆααααα»ααα·αααααααΆααααα– ααΆαααΉααααααΌαααααα’αααααααααααααα ααΆαααααααααααΏαααααΆαα ααα αΆαααααα’ααααααααααααα αααα’αΆα αααα αΆαααΈααΆααααααα α¬ααΆαααααΆααααααΌααα αααα»ααααααΆαα»αααααααααΆααααααααααααα– ααααα·αααΆαααΎαααααα αααααααΌαααΆααααααΉαα’αααΈααΆαα’αα»ααααααΆααααααααααααΆαααΎααααααα αααα»ααα·αααααααΆααααα– αααααα ααΆααααααααΎααΆαααααΆααααααΌαααααααααααααΆααααΆαααΆαα αΌαααααα»ααΆαα»ααΎα αα·αααααΆαααα ααααααα»ααααα αΆααααΈαααααΆαα’αα·ααααΆα ISM Non-Manufacturing Index ααααΌαααΆαα ααααααΆαααα Institute for Supply Management (ISM) αααααΆαααΆαααα·ααααΆααΈαααααααααααα·αααααα αα·αααΆααααααΉααααααΆααααααΉαααΆααααααααααααΆααααααααααα αα·αααΆααααααΆαα·α α αΎααα·αααααααααααααααααΆααααααααααα ααααααΆαααΆαααααΆαααααααααα βοΈ αααααααα»αααΆαααΎααα·αααααα PMIISM Manufacturing Index ααααΌαααΆαααααΆαααααΆαα ααααααα·αααααααααααααα· α αΎααααααααααΆαα ααΆααααααααααααα ααααα·αααΎαααΆαααΆααα PMIβ α ααααααΆαααααααΎ α¬ααΎαααααααααα 50 ααΆααααααΆααΆαααα αΆαααΈααΆααααααΈα α¬ααΈαα ααααΎααα αααα»ααα·αααααα·ααααααααα αααα»ααααα·α ααααα·αααΎαααΆαααΆααα PMIβ α ααααααΆααααααααααααααααα 50 αααααΆαααα αΆαααΈααΆαααααΆααα α»ααα αααα»ααα·αααααα·ααααααααα βοΈ ααΆααααααΆαααααααΆαααΆααααα·αααααα ISM Non-Manufacturing Indexααααααααα PMI αααααααΌαααΆαα αΆαααα»αααΆααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα αααααΎααα½αααΆαααααΆαααααα»αααΆαααΆαααΆαααΈααααΆαααΆαααααααα·α αα ααΆααααααα αααααααΆαααααΆααααααΌααααααααΆαααα·αααααααΆααΉαααΆαα α’αΆα αααα αΆαααΈααΆαααααΆααααααΌαααΆααααααΌααααΌααΆααα αααα»αααααααα·α αα α ααΆα§ααΆα ααα αααααααααααα·ααααα ISM ααααααα»αααΎαα‘αΎαα’αΆα αααα αΆαααΈααΆαααΎαα‘αΎαααααΆαα αααΆαααααα’αααααααΎααααΆαα ααααΎαααααααα·α αα αα·αααΆααααααΎαααΆαααΆααααααΆααααααΆαα»αα αααααααααααααααααααΆααα α»αααΆααααα αΆαααΈααΆαααααΆααα α»αααααααα·α αα α | English Version |βοΈ Key takeaway– ISM Non-Manufacturing Index is a widely recognized economic indicator in the United States that based on surveys of more than 400 non-manufacturing (or services) firms’ purchasing and supply executives.– ISM Non-Manufacturing Index measures the business activity, new orders, employment, supplier deliveries, inventory levels and prices.– How do we read PMI data– This index is considered a leading economic indicator because changes in manufacturing activity can often signal broader shifts in the economy. βοΈ Understand about Non-ISM Manufacturing IndexThe ISM Non-Manufacturing Index, also known as the Services PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index), is a widely recognized economic indicator in the United States that based on surveys of more than 400 non-manufacturing (or services) firms’ purchasing and supply executives. It measures the economic activity and sentiment within the non-manufacturing or services sector of the economy. This sector includes industries such as healthcare, education, finance, retail, transportation, and other services. βοΈ What does the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index measure? And normally released by who and when it is released?ISM Non-Manufacturing Index measures the following key components:– Business Activity: This component reflects the level of business operations and activity within the services sector.– New Orders: It assesses the demand for new services and indicates whether there is an increase or decrease in incoming orders.– Employment: This component gauges changes in employment levels within the services sector.– Supplier Deliveries: It measures the speed of supplier deliveries, which can indicate bottlenecks or changes in supply chain dynamics.– Inventory Levels: This component provides insights into inventory management practices within the services sector.– Prices: It assesses changes in prices for inputs and services, reflecting inflationary pressures. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index is released by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), a professional association that provides data and insights related to supply management and purchasing. The index is released on a monthly basis. βοΈ How do we read PMI data?The ISM Manufacturing Index is calculated by compiling the survey data and converting it into an index number. A reading above 50 typically indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector, as it suggests that more survey respondents are reporting growth and improvement compared to those reporting contraction. Conversely, a reading below 50 indicates contraction in the sector. βοΈ The Importance of Non-ISM Manufacturing IndexThis index is considered a leading economic indicator because changes in manufacturing activity can often signal broader shifts in the economy. For example, a rising ISM Manufacturing Index may suggest increased consumer spending, economic growth, and potential job creation, while a falling index might indicate economic slowdown or recessionary pressures.
Understanding the Consumer Confidence Index
βοΈ αααααΉαααααΆαα– CCI ααΊααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα αααααΆαααααααΎααΆααα»αα·αααα·αα·αα α¬αα»αα·αααα·αα·ααααααα’αααααααΎααααΆααα– ααααααααααα»αααΆαα ααααααΆααααΆαααΆααα CCI– CCI ααΊααΆαααα»αααααΆααααααααα·ααΈα ααα½α 5000 αααα½ααΆα ααααααααααααΆααααΎαααααΆαααα ααα½α 5α– CCI ααααΌαααΆαααααΆαααααααα ααααα·α 100 αααααααΌαααΆαααααααααα»αααααΆα 1985α– ααΆαααααααΆααααα’αααααααΆααα·αα·ααααα ααΎ CCIαβοΈ ααααααααααΈ Consumer Confidence IndexConsumer Confidence Index (CCI) α¬ααΆααΆααΆαααααα α ααΆ ααααααααααααα»αα α·αααα’αααααααΎααααΆαα ααΊααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα αααααΆαααααααΎααΆααα»αα·αααα·αα·αα α¬αα»αα·αααα·αα·ααααααα’αααααααΎααααΆαα αααααΆααααααΉαααααααα·α αα ααΈααααΆαααΆαααΆα αα·αααααΆαααΆαα α·ααααααααα»αααααα½αααα βοΈ ααααααααααα»αααΆαα ααααααΆααααΆαααΆααα CCIα1. ααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα α αααααααΆααααααΉαα’αααΈαααααααααα’αΆααααααααΌαα ααααα’αααααααΎααααΆααα’αααΈααααααα·α αα α2. ααΆαααααααααΆαα αα·αααααααααααα’αααααααΎααααΆααα αααα»αα α·αααααααα’αααααααΎααααΆααααΆαα₯αααα·αααααΆαααααΆαααα ααΎα αα·αααααααααααα’αααααααΎααααΆααα3. ααΆαααααΆαααααα·ααααΆααΆαααααααα·α αα α CCI ααααΌαααΆαααααΎααΆααΌα ααΆααααΆααα»ααααααα·ααααΆααΆαααααααα·α αα α4. ααΆααααααΎαααααααααΆαα αααααΆαα·ααΆα αα·αα’ααααααααΎαααααααααΆαααααΎααααΆαα CCI ααΎααααΈααΆααααααααΈα’αΆααααααα’αααααααΎααααΆααααΆααΆααααα αααα»αααααααα·α αα α5. αα»αααααΆαααααα’αΆααΈαααααα α’αΆααΈααααααα½αα ααα½αααααΎααααΆαα CCI ααΎααααΈααΆαα»αααααΆαααααααααΎααΆααααααα α α·ααα ααΌα ααΆααααα·αααα·αααα ααΆααααααααααααΆαααΎααααα αα·ααααααααΈααααΆαααΆααΎαα6. α’αΆαααααααααααα·αα·αααα·αα CCI ααααα₯αααα·αααααα’αΆαααααααααααα·αα·αααα·ααααααα7. ααΆαααααααααα’ααααααΆαα·α CCI αααααααΌααα·ααΈαααααααΆααα½αααΎααααΈαααααααααααα»αα α·αααα’αααααααΎααααΆαααα ααΌααΆααααααααααααααααααΆα8. ααΆααααα½ααα·αα·αααααΆαααααΆααααααΌαα CCI α’αα»ααααΆαα±ααααΆαααΆααααα½ααα·αα·αααααΈααΆαααααΆααααααΌαααα’αΆααααααααααα’αα·αα·αααααα»αααΆαααααΎααααα ααΉαααααΉαααα·ααΆαααααααααα·α αα ααααααα βοΈααΎ CCI ααΆαααααααααΎα’αααΈαααα ?CCI ααΊααΆαααα»αααααΆααααααααα·ααΈα ααα½α 5000 αααα½ααΆα ααααααααααααΆααααΎαααααΆαααα ααα½α 5 αα½αααΆαα-ααααααααααααααα·α αα /α’αΆααΈααααααα αα α»αααααα-ααααααααααΆαααΆααα αα α»αααααα-ααααααααααααααα·α αα α¬ααΆαααααΉααα»αααΎα’αΆααΈααααααααα»αααααααααααΆααα½ααααααααΆαα-ααααααααααΆαααΆαααααΉααα»ααααα»αααααααααααΆααα½ααααααααΆαα-ααααααααα α·ααααααααα»ααααΉααα»ααααααΆααααααααααααΆααα½ααααααααΆααα βοΈααΆαααααααΆαααΈ Consumer Confidence IndexCCI ααααΌαααΆαααααΆαααααααα ααααα·α 100 αααααααΌαααΆαααααααααα»αααααΆα 1985α1. > 100 αααα αΆαααΆα’αααααααΎααααΆααααΆααααα»αα α·αααα αααΎαααΆα α¬ααΆααα»αα·αααα·αα·ααααΆααααααΉαααααααααα2. =100 αααα αΆαααΆα’αααααααΎααααΆααααΆαααΆαα’ααααΆααααΉα (αα αααααΆα) αααααΉαααααααααα3. <100 αααα αΆαααΆα’αααααααΎααααΆαααα·αααΌαααΆααααα»αα α·ααα α¬αα»αα·αααα·αα·ααααΆααααααΉαααααααααα βοΈααΎ CCI ααααΌαααΆαααααααΆααααα’αααααααΆααα·αα·ααααααΆαααΌα ααααα ?ααΆαααΎααααΆαααΆαααααααααααααααα»αα α·αααα’αααααααΎααααΆαα (CCI) ααααΌαααΆαααααααΆααααα’αααααααΆαααΎααααΈαααααααααα ααΉαααΆαααααΆαααααααααα½αααα ααααα·αααΎαα·ααααααα ααααααΎαααΈααΆαααααΉααα»α ααΆααΌαα ααααΌαααΆαααααΎαααΎαααΆααΆαααΆααα·αααααΆαα ααααααααααα·α αα ααααααααααα·ααααααα αααααααααααΆαααααΉααα»α ααααΌαααΆαααααΎαααΎαααΆααΆαααΆαα’αα·αααααΆαα ααααααααααα·α αα α ααααααΆαααΆααααα ααααΆαααααααααΆααα·ααααααααααα/ααΆα αα·αααααα·ααααααΈααααΆααα·αααααΆα/α’αα·αααααΆα ααΊαα·αααααα»ααααααααααααααΆααααΆαααααααα ααΎααααΈααααΆαααΆααααα αααΆαα ααΌαααΎαααΆαααααααΆαααΆααααααα 1. ααααααααααα·α αα αααα·ααα αααα»ααααααΆαα’αα·ααααΆαααααα αα ααααα·ααααααΈαααα ααααααααααααααα·α αα (Peak) ααΆαα½αααΉαα’ααααΆα’αα·ααααΆααααα αα·αααααα CCI αααα αααααααααααΆαααΆαααααΉααα»ααα·αααααΆααααΆααα’αααα‘αΎα αααα»ααααα·αααΊααΆααΆααΌαα ααα»ααααααααΆαα±ααααΆαα’ααααΆα’αα·ααααΆαααααα ααΌα αααα ααΆα’αΆα αααα»αα±αα Federal Reserve α’αα»αααααααααααΆαααΉααααΉαααΎα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆαα ααααααααΆαα±ααααΆαααΆαα’αα·αααααΆαααααΎααΈααααΆααααααα 2. ααΆαααΎαα‘αΎααα·αααΈαα·ααααα·ααααααα·α αα α αα αααα»αααααααααααα·α αα ααααΆααααΆαβαα½αβαααβααααααα·α αα βα αΆααααααΎαβααΎαα‘αΎαβαα·αβ βααΎααααΈβααΆαβαα βααβααααΆααααΆαβαααααΈα βα αΎαβαααααβααΆαβααααααα·α αα βααΆααα‘αΆαβααβα αΆααααααΎαβααΆαααααα»αβααααβααααα·α αβα ααααααΆαα½αααααΆααα αα αααααααα·αααααα CCI α αααααααααααΆαααΆαααααΉααα»α ααΆααααααΆααΈααααΆααααα·ααα αααα»ααααΆααα·αααααΆα α¬α’αΆα αα·ααΆαααΆαααΆ ααΆααΆαααααΆααααααΎαααααααα·α αα ααααΉαααΆαα | English Version |βοΈ Key takeaway– Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) is an economic indicator that measures how optimistic or pessimistic consumers are.– The purposes of releasing the CCI report– The CCI is a set of surveys of a sample size of 5000 households and ask respondents their opinion on five topics.– The CCI is benchmarked at 100, which was set in 1985.– The CCI interpreted by investment professionals. βοΈ Understand about Consumer Confidence IndexConsumer Confidence Index (CCI) is an economic indicator that measures how optimistic or pessimistic consumers are regarding the economy, the labor market, and their spending/financial position. Or CCI is how people feel about the strength of the economy now and in the future. βοΈThe purposes of releasing the CCI report1. Economic Indicator: The primary purpose of the CCI is to provide insights into the overall sentiment of consumers about the economy. It helps economists, analysts, policymakers, and businesses gauge how optimistic or pessimistic consumers are about their financial situations and the broader economic outlook. 2. Predicting Consumer Behavior: Consumer confidence has a strong influence on consumer behavior. A higher level of consumer confidence often leads to increased spending, as consumers are more likely to make major purchases and investments. Conversely, lower confidence levels might lead to reduced spending and saving. 3. Forecasting Economic Trends: The CCI is used as a leading indicator of economic trends. Changes in consumer confidence tend to precede shifts in economic activity. A decline in consumer confidence can signal potential economic slowdowns, while an increase can suggest economic expansion. 4. Policy Making: Governments and policymakers use the CCI to assess public sentiment about the economy. It can inform policy decisions related to fiscal and monetary measures, especially during times of economic uncertainty or downturns. 5. Business Strategy: Businesses use the CCI to make strategic decisions, such as production levels, inventory management, and marketing efforts. Understanding consumer sentiment helps companies align their strategies with consumer preferences and expectations. 6. Investor Sentiment: The CCI also affects investor sentiment. Positive consumer confidence can contribute to a positive outlook on the stock market and encourage investment, while negative confidence might lead to more cautious investing behavior. 7. International Comparisons: The CCI provides a standardized way to compare consumer confidence across different countries. This can be valuable for multinational companies, international organizations, and policymakers assessing global economic conditions. 8. Monitoring Changes: Over time, the CCI allows for monitoring how consumer sentiment changes in response to various economic events, policy shifts, or external factors like geopolitical developments. βοΈWhat does the CCI measure?The CCI is a set of surveys of a sample size of 5000 households and asks respondents their opinion on five topics, which are:– Current economic/business conditions– Current employment conditions– Expected economic/business conditions in the next six months– Expected employment conditions in the next six months– Expected financial conditions (income prospect) for the next six months βοΈ Interpreting the Consumer Confidence IndexThe CCI is benchmarked at 100, which was set in 1985:1. >100 indicates that consumers are more confident or more optimistic versus the benchmark.2. =100 indicates that consumers are neutral versus the benchmark.3. <100 indicates that consumers are less confident or more pessimistic versus the benchmark. βοΈHow is the CCI interpreted by investment professionals?The Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) reading is used by professionals to compare against their predictions. An above-expected reading is generally seen as positive, while a below-expected reading is seen as negative. However, the relationship between higher/lower readings and positive/negative market reactions isn’t straightforward, as discussed below. The markets perceive this hinges on the current business cycle:1. Late Economic Cycle-High Inflation: In an economy nearing the end of its business cycle with high inflation, an unexpectedly high reading could raise expectations of even higher inflation. This might prompt the Federal Reserve to adopt stricter policies, causing a negative market response.2. Recovery from Recession: In an economy emerging from a recession, a reading above expectations could (more confidence) bolster confidence in the economy, seen positively by the financial markets as a sign of robust economic growth.
Understanding about Core Durable Goods Orders
βοΈ αααααΉαααααΆαα– Core Durable Goods Orders (ααΆαβαααααΆβαα·αβαααα·αβααααΎβααΆααβααΆαβααΌα) ααΊααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα αααααΆαααααααΎαααααααα»αααααΆααααααΆαα·ααααα·αααΆαα½αα’αααααα·ααααααΆαααααα·ααααααααΎααααΆααααΆαααΌα α αΎαααΆαα’αΆαα»ααΆαα αΆααααΈ 3 ααααΆαα‘αΎααα α– Durable Goods Orders ααΆαααΈααααααααΊ αααα·αααααΎααααΆααααΆαααΌααααααΆααα’αααααααΎααααΆααααΌαα , αααα·αααααΎααααΆααααΆαααΌααααααΆααα’αΆααΈααααα αα·ααααα·ααα·αα’αΆα ααααΎααααΆααααΆαααΌαα– Durable Goodsβ (αααα·αααααΎααααΆααααΆαααΌα) αα½αααΆααααΆαααΈααααααα αααΆαααΈαααααα½αααΆααΎαα– ααΆαααΎαα‘αΎα αα·αααΆαααα α»ααα Core Durable Goods Orders– Durable Goods Orders ααΆαααΆααααααΆαα αααααααΆααΆααα½ααΆααΈαααα»αααΆααα·ααΆαααααααα·α αα αααααααΆαααα·ααααα αα·αα₯αααα·ααααΎααΆααα·αα·αααα’αΆααΈαααααααΆααΎαα βοΈ ααααααααααΈ Core Durable Goods OrdersCore Durable Goods Orders α¬ααΆααΆααΆαααααα α ααΆ ααΆαβαααααΆβαα·αβαααα·αβααααΎβααΆααβααΆαβααΌα ααΊααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα αααααΆαααααααΎαααααααα»αααααΆααααααΆαα·ααααα·αααΆαα½αα’αααααα·ααααααΆαααααα·αααααΎααααΆααααΆαααΌα (Durable Goodsβ) αααααΆαα’αΆαα»ααΆαα αΆααααΈ 3 ααααΆαα‘αΎααα α αααα·αβααΆααβαααβαα½αβααΆαββααααΏαβαααΆαααΈα αα»αααααΌααα αα·αβααΆααααα·αααΆααΎαα αααααΆααα·αααα Core Durable Goods Orders ααΊααΆααΆααααααααα·ααααααα·α αα αααα αΆααααααααα ααααα’αΆαααα·ααααααααΎα‘αΎαααΎααααΈααααα αα·αααΆααααααααααααααΆαα§ααααΆα αααα ααΆαα·αααααΆαααα·ααααα·αααααΎααααΆααααΆαααΌα (Durable Goodsβ) αααααΆαααααααΆααα ααΎααΉαααΈαα ααααα’αΆαααα·ααααα»αααααααααΆααααΆαααα½αα ααΆααααΆααααα·ααΆαααΆααααααΆαα·ααααα»ααααα»α αα·αα’ααααααΆαα·αααααΆαααααα·ααααααα·αααααααα»αα αα»ααααα»ααααα»ααα αα ααααα’αΆαααα·ααααααα βοΈ αααααααα Durable GoodsαααααΆαααΆαα·ααΆααααα·ααΆαααααααα·α αα (BEA) αααα·αααααΎααααΆααααΆαααΌαααΆαααΈααααααααΊα– αααα·αααααΎααααΆααααΆαααΌααααααΆααα’αααααααΎααααΆααααΌαα α ααΊααΆαααα·αααααα·αααααα»αααα αα·ααααα½ααΆαα αααα·αααΆααααααα½αααΆα ααααΏααααα αΆαα·α αααααα ααααΏαα’αα‘α·α ααααΌαα·α α’αΈαααΆαα ααααα αα·αα§αααααααΈα‘αΆααΆααΎαα– αααα·αααααΎααααΆααααΆαααΌααααααΆααα’αΆααΈαααααα αααα·αααααΎααααΆααααΆαααΌααααααΆααα’αΆααΈαααααααΊαααα ααΎαααααα αα·αααα·ααααΆ (PPE) α αααα·αααΆααααααα½αααΆαααΌα ααΆα§αααααα§ααααΆα ααααααΌα ααΆαααΆαααΈα αα·αα§αααααα’αααα·αααΈααΆααΎαα αααα·αααΆααααααααα½ααααα αΌαααΌα ααΆααΌα α‘αΆαααΉααααα·α α‘αΆααααα»α αα·αααααα αααααααα– αααα·ααα·αα’αΆα ααααΎααααΆααααΆαααΌαα αααα·ααααααΆαα’αΆαα»ααΆαααΆααααααα·α ααΆαααΈααααΆα α αΎααα½αααΆαααΌα ααΆ α’αΆα αΆα αααααααααΆαα ααααΆαααα ααα·ααααααααααΆααααΆαααααα½αααα βοΈ ααΎααΆααα»ααααα·αα’αααΈαααααααααΆαααααα αΌααααα»α Durable Goods?Durable Goods (αααα·αααααΎααααΆααααΆαααΌα) αα½αααΆα αααΆαααΈααααααα αααΆαααΈαααααα½α αααΆαααΈαααΆαα αΆα αα»αααααΌααα ααΌααααααα ααΌαααΉααα αααααα α‘αΆαααΉααααα·α ααααΏαα’αα‘α·α ααααΌαα·α ααααΏαα ααα α§ααααα αα·αα§αααααα’αα‘α·α ααααΌαα·αααααααααα α αΎαααΆααβααΆβαααα·αβαααβαα·αβααααΌαβααΆαβαα·αααΆβααΉαααΆααβααβ αααααβαααα·αααΆαααααααΆαα’αΆαα»ααΆαααΌαα βοΈ ααΆαααααααΆαααΈ Core Durable Goods Orders1. ααΆαααΎαα‘αΎααα Core Durable Goods Orders– ααααΎα±ααααΆαααααΎαααααααα·α αα – αααααΎαααΆααα·αα·αααα’αΆααΈααααα αα·ααααα»αα α·αααα’αααααααΎααααΆαα– ααΆαααα·αααΆαααΆαααΎαα‘αΎα– ααΆαααααΎαααα±ααΆαααΆαααΆαα 2. ααΆαααα α»ααα Core Durable Goods Orders– ααααΎα±ααααΆαααΆαααααΆααα α»αααααααααα·α αα – ααΆαααα α»αααααΆααα·αα·αααα’αΆααΈααααα αα·ααααα»αα α·αααα’αααααααΎααααΆαα– ααΆαααα·αααα α»α– α±ααΆαααΆαααΆαααΆαα ααα½ααα·α ααΆααα»αα βοΈ ααΆααααααΆαααα Core Durable Goods OrdersDurable Goods Orders ααΆαααΆααααααΆαα ααααα1. αα½ααΆααΈαααα»αααΆααα·ααΆαααααααα·α αα Core Durable Goods Orders ααΎααα½ααΆααΈαααΆαααααΆαααααα»αααΆααα·ααΆαααααααα·α αα αααααααΆαααααααΆααααααΉαα’αααΈαα»αααΆααααα·αααααα·ααααα αα·ααααααααΌαααΆαα ααα’α»ααααα αΆαα’αααΈαα·ααααΆααΆαααααααα·α αα ααααΌααααΌααΆααααααα αααααΆααα·αααα ααΆααααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα ααααααΆαα αααα’αΆα αα½ααααααααααα·α αα αα·ααΌ α’ααααααααΎαααααααααΆα αα·αα’ααααα·αα·αααα’αΆα ααΆααααααα’αααΈααααΆαααΆαααααααα·α αα αα·αααααΎααΆααααααα α α·αααααααααααααααΉαααααΌαα 2. αααααααΆαααα·αααααααα·αααααααΊααΆααΆαα»αααααααΆαααααΆααααααααααα·α αα αααα αΌααα½αα αααααααααΆαααΆα ααΆαααΆαα αα αα·αααααΎαααααααα·α αα ααΆααααΌαα Core Durable Goods Orders ααααΆαααααΆαααααααααααΆαααα·ααααααααααα αα αααααααα·αααααα Core Durable Goods Orders ααΎαα‘αΎα ααΆαααα αΆαααΆααΆαααΆααα·αα·αααααΎα’αΆααΈαααααααααααααααααααααα·αααΌα ααΆ ααααΏααααΆαααΈα αα»αααααΌααα αα·αα§ααααααααααΆαααΆααααααΆαααααααΆααααα·αααααα ααααΎαααααΆααα·αα·ααααααα’αΆα ααΆαα±ααααΆαααΆααααααΎααα·αααααααα·ααααα ααα·αααΆαααΆααααααααα αα·αααΆααααααΆαα»ααααααααα·α αα α 3. α₯αααα·ααααΎααΆααα·αα·αααα’αΆααΈαααααααΆααα·αα·αααααΎα’αΆααΈααααα ααΊααΆαααααΆαααα»αααααααΆααααααΆααααααΈαααααααα·α αα α αα αααααααααααΌαααΆαα’αΆααΈαααααααΆααααα»αα α·αααααΆαααα’ααΆαα αααααΉαααΆαααΆααα·αα·αααααΎαααα·αααααΎααααΆααααΆαααΌα (Durable Goodsβ) α αααΎαααΆααα»αα ααΆαααΎαα‘αΎααα Core Durable Goods Orders α’αΆα αααα αΆαααΈααΆααα»αα·αααα·αα·ααααα’αΆααΈαααααααΎαα‘αΎα ααααααα αΆαααΆαααα»αα αα»ααααα»ααααααΈαααααα·ααααα·ααΆααααααα½ααα α¬ααααΎααααΎαααααα§ααααααααααα½αααα αααα’αΆα αααα»αα±ααααΆαααααΎαααααααα·α αα ααΆααααααΆααααα»ααααααααΆαααα·ααααα ααΆααααααΎαααΆαααΆα αα·ααααααααΆαααααααα·α αα ααΆααααΌαα αααααΆααα·αααα ααΆαααααΆααα α»ααα Core Durable Goods Orders α’αΆα ααΆαααααΆαααα αΆαααΈααΆααααααααα»αα α·ααααααα»αα’αΆααΈαααααα ααααα·αααΎαααα»αα αα»ααααααΆαααα α¬αααααΈαααΆααα·αα·ααααααααα½ααααα αααα»αααΆαααα·ααααα·αααααΎααααΆααααΆαααΌα (Durable Goods) αααααΆα’αΆα αααα αΆαααΈααΆααα·αα αααΆααααΆαα α¬ααΆαααααΆααα α»ααααααααΆαα»ααααααααααααα·α αα αααααα αααα’αΆα ααα₯αααα·αααααααααααα·α αα αααααΆαααααααΆαααΆα ααααΆαααααα½α αα·αααΆαα αααΆαααααα’αααααααΎααααΆααα ααα»ααα ααΆααααααΆαααα Core Durable Goods Orders αααααααΌαααΆααααααΉαα’αααΈαα·αααααα·ααααα αα·ααααΆααΆααα·αα·αααα’αΆααΈααααα αα·αααααΎαααααααα·α αα αααααΆααααααΆαα»ααα α’ααααα·ααΆαα’αΆα ααΆααααααααΆααααααΎαααΆααα»αα’αααΈααΆαααααΆαα α¬ααΆααααααααααα αααα»αααΌαααααΆαααααΉαααααααααα·α αα αα·αααααΎααΆαααααΆααααααΆαααα’ααΆααααΆαα Core Durable Goods Orders αααααααΆαααΆααααααΆαααααααΆααα’ααααααααΎαααααααααΆα αα·αα·αααα·α αα·αα’ααααααα αΆααα’αΆαααααααααα»αααΆααααααΉαα’αααΈαα·αααααΆαααααααα·α αα ααΆααααααα βοΈ αα·ααααααα ααααααΆαααααΈαπΊπΈ U.S. Core Durable Goods Orders MoM: 0.6% (27 ααααααΆ 2023) β 0.3% (26 ααααΆ 2023) | English Version |βοΈ Key takeaway– Core Durable Goods Orders is an economic indicator that measures the total value of orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods, which are products with a lifespan of three years or more.– There are three types of durable goods which are consumer durable goods, business durable goods, and nondurable goods.– Durable goods include washers, dryers, and so on.– Increase and decrease in durable goods orders– Durable goods orders are significant because it is a role in economic analysis, a relationship to manufacturing activity, and an impact on business investment. βοΈUnderstand about Core Durable Goods OrdersCore Durable Goods Orders is an economic indicator that measures the total value of orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods, which are products with a lifespan of three years or more. These goods include items like appliances, machinery, computers, and vehicles. It is a US monthly economic survey conducted to identify and measure industrial activity, especially the manufacturing of durable goods, prevailing on the US in a given period. It also measures the local and international order volume for goods manufactured by domestic companies in the US. βοΈ Types of Durable GoodsAccording to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), there are three types of durable goods, which are:– Consumer durable goods: goods bought by individuals and households. They include furniture, automobiles, electronics, luggage, books, and sports equipment.– Business durable goods: durable goods uses by businesses are plant, property and equipment (PPE). They include industrial equipment such as machinery and electrical apparatus. They also include boats, trucks, buses, and aircraft.– Nondurable goods: goods that are known to last less than three years on average and include goods such as food, clothing, tobacco, personal care products, etc. βοΈ What is included in Durable Goods?Durable goods include washers, dryers, dishwashers, computers, televisions, refrigerators, cars, trucks, other electronics, machinery, tools, and semiconductors. Durable goods are those that are not purchased frequently as they last a long time. βοΈ Interpretation of Core Durable Goods Orders1. Increase in Core Durable Goods Orders– It signifies an economy trending upwards.– Increase in business investment and consumer confidence– Manufacturing continues to grow– More manufacturing jobs were created 2. Decrease in Core Durable Goods Orders– It signifies an economy trending downwards.– Decrease in business investment and consumer confidence– Slowdown in manufacturing– Less manufacturing jobs were created βοΈ Significance of Core Durable Goods OrdersDurable goods orders is significant because:1. Role in Economic AnalysisCore durable goods orders play a crucial role in economic analysis because they offer insights into the health of the manufacturing sector and provide indications about broader economic trends. As a key economic indicator, core durable goods orders help economists, policymakers, and investors assess the state of the economy and make informed decisions. 2. Relationship to Manufacturing ActivityManufacturing is a foundational component of many economies, contributing to employment, exports, and overall economic growth. Core durable goods orders serve as a barometer of manufacturing activity. When core orders increase, it suggests that businesses are investing in capital goods like machinery, computers, and equipment, which are essential for production. This growth in investment can lead to increased manufacturing output, higher productivity, and a potentially positive multiplier effect throughout the economy. 3. Impact on Business InvestmentBusiness investment is a critical driver of economic expansion. When businesses are confident about future demand, they are more likely to invest in durable goods. An uptick in core durable goods orders can signal increased business optimism, indicating that companies are expanding their operations or modernizing their equipment. This, in turn, can stimulate economic growth by boosting production capacity, job creation, and overall economic activity. On the other hand, a decline in core durable goods orders might signal a lack of confidence among businesses. If companies are postponing or scaling back their investments in durable goods, it could suggest economic uncertainty or a potential slowdown. This can have a ripple effect throughout the economy, affecting employment, wages, and consumer spending. In summary, the significance of core durable goods orders lies in its ability to provide insights into the manufacturing sector, business investment trends, and potential economic growth. By focusing on the core orders and excluding transportation, analysts can better assess the underlying strength or weakness in the economy’s foundation and make informed predictions about its future trajectory. This information is vital for policymakers, investors, and anyone interested in understanding the broader economic landscape. βοΈ Recent updatesπΊπΈ U.S.
5 Dangerous Times to trade. Be careful !
ααΎαααααΆααααααααααααααααΆαααααα»αααΆαα αΌαααΈααααΆα?– αααααααααΈαααα»αα‘α»ααααα·ααααα’ααααα½αααα ααααΆαααΆαα αΌαααααΆααα ααααααααααααΈαααα»αα‘α»ααααα·α αααααααα‘α»ααααααααααα ααΈααααΆαα’αΆα ααΉαααΆαααΆααααααααα½αααααΆαα α αΎααααααααααααα·αααα α·ααααααααα»ααααααααα’αΆα αααααααα½αααΆαααααΉαα Breakouts αααα 10 AM ααα 12 PM ET α’αΆα ααΆαααααΆααα·αααααΉαααααΌα! – ααααααααααΌα ααα αα·ααααααααααααααΌα ααα αα·α α’ααααα·ααααααα·αααα α·ααααααααα»ααααααααααααααααααααααααΆαα αΌαααααΆαααααααΆαα αααααααΎα²ααααααΆαααααα ( Spread ) ααΆαααααα α αΎαααΆααα’αΆα ααααΎα²ααααααΆααααααααα½ααα»αααΈααΆαααααΉααα»αααααααΎααααααα ααΆαα ααααΈααααΆααα ααααααααα’αΆα ααΆαα²ααααΎαααα½αααΆαααΌαααααααα·αααα’αααααααααααΆααααααααααΆααα»αα – αα»αααααα·ααααααααααΆααα ααααααΆααα·ααααααααΌα ααΆ US Nonfarm Payroll, αα·ααααααα’αα·ααααΆ, αααΆαααΆααα GDP α’αΆα ααααΎα²ααααΈααααΆαααΎααα»αααΈααΆαααααΉααα»αααααααΎα αααααααααΆααα·ααΆα Consolidate αααααΆαααααΆαααα’αΆα αααααααααααααΆαααααα’αααα αΌαααααΆαα – αα»αααΆααααααα α α·αααααΎααΆααααααα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆααααΆααααααα α α·αααααα‘αΎαααΆαααααΆαααααα FOMC α¬ ECB αααααααΆαα₯αααα·αααααΆαααααΆααααΎααΈααααΆαα αααααΆαα·αααααααααα ααααααΆαααΆααααααααα·αααααΆααααααααααα·α αα ααααα ααααΆαααα FOMC αα·α ECB αααααααΉαα ααααΆααααααα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆαα ααΈααααΆααααααααΆαααΆααααααααα½ααααΆαααααΆααα – αααααααααΆα α’αααα αΌαααααΆααα½αααααααΆααΆαααΆαααΆαααΈαααααααααΆααααααα ααααα’αΆαααα·α αααααααΆαααααααααααΆααααααα ααααα’αΆαααα·α ααΈααααΆαα’αΆαααα·αααΉααα·α αααααΆαααααΆααααΎα²ααααααααΈαααααΈααααΆα ( Market liquidity ) αα·α ααΆααα»α α αΎαααααΆαααααα ( Spread ) ααΆααααααααΆααα»α ααΈααααΆαααα’αΆα αααααααα½ααα»αααΈααΆαααααΉααα»αα | English Below | When is it dangerous to enter the market?– London CloseTrading during the London close is strongly discouraged due to increased volatility and unpredictable price movements. Breakouts around 10 AM to 12 PM ETβ false signals – New York CloseAs traders wrap up their activities, this causes wider spreads for rollovers and results in erratic price action. Exiting trades during this time can lead to worse prices due to the wider spreads. – Ahead of Big Data ReleasesUS nonfarm payrolls, inflation rate, and GDP reports can cause significant volatility in the currency market as there is often no continuation or consolidation, making it unpredictable. – Before Rate Decisions from FOMC and ECBRate Decisions from FOMC and ECB can have a substantial impact on the market. Even if expected data suggests a positive outlook, it is best to stay out of the market during these releases due to heightened volatility. – HolidaysTraders should be mindful of US holidays as the market closes, resulting in fewer participants. This can influence currency trading, leading to wider spreads and increased market volatility.
Understanding about Housing Starts
βοΈ αααααΉαααααΆαα– Housing Starts αααα αα ααΎα ααα½αααααααααααΆαααααααα ααΆαααααΈαααααΆαα αΆααααααΎααααα»αα’αα‘α»ααααααΆααααΆααααΆαα½α αααααΆααααααΆααααΌαααΆαααΆαααΆααααααα αΆααααααααΆαα·ααΆαααααααΏααα ααααα’αΆαααα·α (The U.S. Census Bureau) α– αα·αααααα Housing Starts ααΆααααααΆααααΌαααΆααααα ααααΆααΈααααααααΊ Housing Starts αααααΆαααααα½ααΆααααααΆααααΆαα·ααα·α , Housing Starts αααααΆαααα α»αααα½ααΆα (αααα½ααΆααααααΆααααΆαα·αα αααΎα) αα·αα ααα½αααα»ααα Housing Startsα– αααααΆααΆααααα α’ααααΆααΆαααααΆαα αα·αααααααααααααααα·α αα ααΊααΆαααααΆα ααααααααααα»αα±αααα·αααααα Housing Starts ααΆαααΆααααααααα½αα– ααΆαα·ααΆαααααααΏααα ααααα’αΆαααα·α (The U.S. Census Bureau) ααααΎααααΆααααααΌαα·αα·αα’αα»ααααΆαααΆααααααΈααΆαα·ααΆαααα’αα»ααααΆααααα»ααααα»α ααΎααααΈαααΆαααααααΆαααΎααΆαα αΆααααααΎαααΆαααααααα ααΆα αααααααΌαααΆαα’αα»αααααα αΌααααααΆααααα αα αα·αααΆαααααα– ααΆααααααΆαααααααΆαααΆααα Housing Startsα βοΈ ααααααααααΈ Housing Starts“Housing Starts” α¬ααΆααΆααΆαααααα α ααΆ “α ααα½αααααααααΈαααααΎαααΉαααΆαααα” ααΊααΆα ααα½αααααααααααΆααααααααααααΈαααααΆαα αΆααααααΎααααα»αααααααααΆααααΆαααα½α α¬ααΆααααααΆαααα»ααα½αααα Housing Starts αααααΆααααα αΆαααΈααααΏαααααΆαααΆααααααααααααΈ ααααα½ααααα αΌαααΌααααααααααΆαααααα½ααΆαααΆααααΆαα·ααα·α (single-family homes) α’αΆααΆααα·α αα·αααααααααα ααΆαααααααααα αααααΆααα·αααα αα αααααααα·αααααα Housing Starts ααΎαα‘αΎα ααΆαααα αΆαααΈαααα»αα α·ααααααααααααΆαααααα»αααΆααα·αααααααΆαααΆααα»αα·αααα·αα·ααααΆααα»α αα·ααααα»ααααα αΆααααΈααΈααααΆααααα ααΆααααα»αααΆαααΆαααΉαααΆα αααααααααααΆαααα α»ααααα·αααααα Housing Starts αααα αΆαααΈααΆαααααΆααα α»αααααααααα·α αα αα αα·αα βοΈ αααααααα Housing Startsαα·αααααα Housing Starts ααΆααααααΆααααΌαααΆααααα ααααΆααΈαααααα ααΊα– Single-Family Housing Startsα ααΊααΆα ααα½ααααααααα αΆααααααΎαααΆαααααααααΆαααααα½ααΆααααααΆααααΆαα·ααα·α α ααΆααααααααα αα ααΎααΆαααΆααααααααα―ααααααααααα ααΆα‘αΎαααΎααααΈααααΆαααα αααα»ααααα½ααΆααααα½αα– Multi-Family Housing Startsα αααααα Housing Starts ααααα½ααααα αΌαααΆαααΆααααα’ααΆααααααΆααααα ααΆαααΆα αααΎαααΌα ααΆ α’αΆααΆααα·α αα»αααΌ ααΈααααα»ααα αα·αααααααΈαααΆααα‘αΎααα α– Total Housing Startsα ααΆααΊααΆα ααα½αααααααααα½ααααα αΌαααααΆαα Single-Family Housing Starts αα·α Multi-Family Housing Startsα βοΈ αααααΆαααααα₯αααα·ααααα Housing StartsαααααΆαααααα₯αααα·ααααα Housing Starts ααΆαα– αααααΆααΆαααααααααααΆααΆααααα αα½αααΆαααααΎααααααΆαα ααΆααααα ααα’αΆαα» α’ααααΆααααΆααααααΎααααα½ααΆα αα·αααααΌαααΈααααα ααΆαααΎααα½ααΆααΈαααΆαααααΆαααααα»αααΆααααα ααααααΌαααΆααααα ααΆαα ααΆααααααααα½αααα’ααααΆαααααΆααΆαααααα’αΆα ααΆαα±ααααΆαααΆαααααΆααααααΌααααααΌαααΆααααααααααααα ααΆααααααα – α’ααααΆβααΆαβααααΆαααα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆααα’αΆα ααα₯αααα·ααααααααααααΆαααα ααΎααααααΆαααααΆααα·ααααα ααΆααααααααααΆαααααα»ααααα»αα αα ααααααα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆααααΆα ααΆαα αααΆαααΎααΆαααα αΈααααΆααααααΌαααΆαααΆααααααα αααααααΎα±ααααΆαα ααα½ααααα αΈαααα»αααΆααα·αααααααΎαα‘αΎαα ααΆαααααα ααα α’ααααΆααΆαααααΆααααΆαα’αΆα αααα»αα±ααααΆααααααΌαααΆααααα ααΆαα αααΎα αααααΆα ααα»ααααΎα±ααααΆαα’ααααΆ Housing Starts ααΎαα‘αΎααααααα αααα»ααα αα·α ααΎα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆααααΎαα‘αΎα αααααΆα’αΆα ααααΎα±ααααΆαα ααα½ααααα αΈαααα»αααΆααα·αααααααα α»α αααααΆα ααα»ααααΎα±ααααΆαα’ααααΆ Housing Starts ααα α»αααΌα ααααΆα -ααααααααααααααα·α αα ααααααααα αα·αααααΆαααΆαααααααα·α αα αα½αααΆαααΌα ααΆ ααααα·αααΆαααΆα ααααΎαααααΆααα αααΌα αα·ααααα»αα α·αααα’αααααααΎααααΆαα ααΆαα₯αααα·ααααΎ Housing Startsα αα αααα»αααααααα·α αα ααααΉαααΆααα½α α ααα½αα’αααα’ααααΆαααΆαααααΎααΉαααααΆααα α»α αα·αααααΆααα αααΌαααΎαα‘αΎα ααααα»αΆααα±ααααααΆαααΆαα α·ααααααααα»αααααααααΆααααΆααααααΉαααΆα αα·αααΆααααααΌαααΆααααα ααΆαααΎαα‘αΎαα αααα»ααααα·α αα αααα»αα’αα‘α»ααα·ααααα·ααααααα·α αα α’ααααΆ Housing Starts α’αΆα ααα α»α αααααΆααααααααΆαααα·αααΆαααααααΆααααα»αααΆααααααααααααααα»αααΆααααααααΆαααααα αΈαα·αααααααΌα αα»αα βοΈ α ααα»α’αααΈααΆαααΆαα·αααααα Housing Starts ααΆαααΆααααααΆαα?αααΆαααΆααα Housing Starts ααΆαααΆααααααΆαα αααααααα ααα»ααααααΆααααα½αα ααα½αααΌα ααΆα – ααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα α Housing Starts ααααΌαααΆαααααΆαααααΆαααααΆαααααΆαααα ααΉααα»αααΆαααααααα·α αα α ααΆαααΎαα‘αΎαααα ααα½αααΆαααααααα ααΆαααΆααααα»ααααα αΆααααΈααααααα·α αα ααααΉαααΆα αα·αααΆαααΎαα‘αΎααααααααΌαααΆααα·ααααα ααααααααΆαααααΆααα α»ααααα·αααααα Housing Starts ααΆααααα αΆαααΈααΆαααααααααααααααααα·α αα α – α₯αααα·ααααΎααΆαααΆαα ααΈααααΆααααα ααΆαααΆαααα₯αααα·αααααααΈααααΆαααΆαααΆααααΆαα αααΎαα ααΆαα·αααααΉααααα½ααααααΎαααΆαααΆααααα»ααα·αααααααααααααααΆααααααα»ααααααα ααα»ααααααΆαααα½ααααααΎαα±ααΆαααΆαααΆααα αααα»ααα·ααααααααΆααααααααααααα ααΆαααΎαα‘αΎαααα ααα½ααααα ααΆαααΆααααααΆααΆαααΆααααααΎαα ααα½αααΆαααΆα α ααααα―ααΆαααα α»αα’αΆα ααΆαα±ααααΆαααΆαααΆαααααααααΆαααΆαα – αααααααΆααααΎααΆαα αααΆαααααα’αααααααΎααααΆααα Housing starts ααΆαα₯αααα·αααα½αα±ααααααααααΆααααΎααΆαα αααΆαααααα’αααααααΎααααΆααα ααΆαβααΆααααβααααβααααΈβααΆαβαα·ααααΆααΆαβαααα»αβα±ααβααΆαβαααααΌαααΆαβαααααβαααααΆααβααααΏαβαααα αΆαα·α ααααΏαβααααΎααααΆαα αα·αβαααα·α αα·αβααααΆααααβαααααααααααΆαααααααα βοΈ ααΎα’αααααΆα ααααααΆααα·αααααα Housing Starts?αααΆαααΆααα Housing Starts ααααΌαααΆαα ααααααΆααααααΆαα·ααΆαααααααΏααα ααααα’αΆαααα·α αα·αααΆααααααΆαα’αα·αααααααααα ααΆα αα·αααΈαααα»αα βοΈ ααΎαα·αααααα Housing Starts α ααααααΆααα αααααΆ?αααΆαααΆααα Housing Starts ααααΌαααΆαα ααααααΆαααΆαααα αΆααα αααααΆααααααΆαα ααΆαααααααΆααααααααΆααααΈααααααααΆαααΆαααα βοΈ αα·ααααααα ααααααΆαααααΈαU.S. Housing Starts: 1,583M (α§αααΆ 2023) β 1,340M (ααααΆ 2023) | English Version |βοΈ Key takeaway– The Housing Starts data is an economic indicator that refers to the number of new residential construction projects that have begun during a particular period, typically reported monthly by the U.S. Census Bureau.– Housing Starts data is typically broken down into three categories which are single-family housing starts, multi-family housing starts, and total housing starts.– Demographics, interest rates, economic conditions, and government policies and subsidies are the main factors that drive housing starts.– The Census Bureau uses a sample of building permits from local permitting offices to estimate housing starts, which are then followed until completion and sale.The importance of the housing starts report. βοΈ Understand about Housing Starts“Housing starts” refers to the number of new residential construction projects that have begun within a specific timeframe, usually a month. This metric indicates the pace of new home construction, including single-family homes, apartments, and other residential structures. Housing starts are a key indicator of economic growth and consumer confidence, with increases reflecting a strong market, while decreases may indicate economic slowdowns. βοΈ Categories of Housing StartsHousing Starts data is typically broken down into three categories:– Single-Family Housing Starts: It is the number of new single-family homes that have started construction. These refer to the construction of individual standalone homes designed to accommodate a single family.– Multi-Family Housing Starts: This category includes the construction of buildings with multiple housing units, such as apartments, condominiums, townhouses, and duplexes.– Total Housing Starts: It is the combined number of single-family and multi-family housing starts. βοΈ Factors influencing Housing StartsFactors that drive Housing Starts are:– Demographic:Demographics, including population growth, age distribution, household formation rates, and urbanization, play a crucial role in shaping housing demand. Changes in demographics can lead to shifts in the types of housing needed. – Interest rates:Interest rates have a direct impact on the affordability of housing. When interest rates are low, borrowing costs are reduced, making it more attractive for individuals and families to take out mortgages to buy homes. Low interest rates can stimulate housing demand and lead to an increase in housing starts. Conversely, higher interest rates can deter potential homebuyers and lead to a slowdown in housing starts. – Economic conditions:The overall health of the economy, including factors like employment levels, income growth, and consumer confidence, influences housing starts. In a strong economy with low unemployment and rising incomes, people are more likely to have the financial means to buy homes, leading to higher housing demand and starts. During economic downturns, housing starts may decrease due to reduced affordability and uncertainty. βοΈ Why is the Housing Starts data important?The Housing Starts report holds notable significance for several key reasons: – Economic Indication: Housing starts are intricately linked to economic health. A surge in residential construction reflects a robust economy and rising home demand, whereas a drop signals economic fragility. – Employment Influence: The housing market holds substantial employment implications. Not only does it create construction jobs directly, but it also generates opportunities across related sectors. A surge in housing starts translates to job expansion, whereas a decrease can lead to job cuts. – Consumer Spending Impact: Housing starts wield a notable impact on consumer spending. New home construction tends to drive heightened demand for furnishings, appliances, and allied goods and services. βοΈ Who publishes the Housing Starts data?The Housing Starts report is published by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. βοΈ When is the Housing Starts data released?The housing starts report is released monthly, usually around the middle of the month following the reporting period. βοΈ Recent updatesU.S. Housing Starts: 1,583M (May 2023) β 1,340M (January 2023)
10 Major Fundamental News Reports You Must Know
1οΈβ£Nonfarm Payrollαα·αααααααααα ααααααΆαααΆαααααΆαααααα αααααα»ααααααααααΆα αααΈα‘α ααΆααΆααΆαααΆαααααααΎααΆαααααΆααααααΌαα’αααααααΎααΆααααα»αα’αα‘α»ααααα»α (αα·αααΆαααααα αΌααα·αααααα·αααα) ααΎααααΈααΆααααααααααΆαααΆαααΈααααΆαααΆαααΆα αα·ααααα·αααΆαααααααα·α αα α 2οΈβ£αααΆααΆααααααΆαα’αΆαααα·α (US Federal Reserve Bank)αα·αααααααααα ααααααΆα α¨αααααα»ααα½αααααΆαα ααΆα ααααααΆαα’ααααΆααααα (Overnight Interest Rate) αααααααααααααααααααΆαα·ααΆαααΈααααΆαααΎαα αα (FOMC) αααααΆαααααΆααΆαααΆαα·αααααΎααααΈααα αΈ αα·ααααααααααΆαααααα αΈααααα»αααΎααααααα½αααα±αααα ααααΆαα αα·ααα ααα 3οΈβ£αααΆαααΆαααα’αα·ααααΆαααααα ααααα’αΆαααα·α (Consumer Price Index-CPI)αα·αααααααααα ααααααΆαααΆαααα αΆαααα ααΆααΆααΆαααΆαααααααΈααΆααααααααα½αααΆαααααααααααααααα·α αα·αααααΆαααααααααΆααα·αααααααα½ααΆααααα»αααααααααααααα½αα 4οΈβ£ααααααααααααααα’αααααα·α (Producer Price Index-PPI)αα·αααααααααα ααααααΆαααΆαααα αΆαααα ααΆααΊααΆααΆαααΆαααααααΈααΆααααααααα½αααΆαααααααααααααααα·α αα·αααααΆαααααααα’αααααα·ααααα»ααααα»αααα½αααΆααααααΆαααα·ααααααααααα½ααααα αααα»αααααααααααααα½αα 5οΈβ£ααααααααααααα»αα α·αααα’αααααααΎααααΆαα (Consumer Confidence Index-CCI)αα·αααααααααα ααααααΆαααΆαααα αΆαααα ααΆααΆαααααααΎααΆααα»αα·αααα·αα·αα α¬αα»αα·αααα·αα·ααααααααΆαααΆαααααααα·α αα α 6οΈβ£α’ααααΆααΆαααααΆαααααααααΆααΆαααΆααΆααΆ (Bank of Canada Overnight Rate)αα·αααααααααα ααααααΆα α¨αααααα»ααα½αααααΆαα ααΆααΆααΆαααααΆαα (Overnight Rate) αααααααΆαααα α·ααααααααα»ααααααααααααΆαααααα αΈα±αααα ααααΆαα αα·αα 7οΈβ£ααα·ααααααα»ααααα»αααα»ααααααα ααααα’αΆαααα·α (US Gross Domestic Product-GDP)ααΆαα·αααααααααα ααααααΆααααααΆααααααΈααΆα (α£αααααα)α αα·αααααααααααΆαααααΆααααΌαα·αααααα»αααααααα·α αα·αααααΆααααααΆααα’αααααααΆαααα·ααα αααα»ααα ααααα’αΆαααα·ααααα»αα’αα‘α»ααααααΆααααΆααααΆαα½αα 8οΈβ£αααΆααΆαααααα»αααΌαααααα‘αα (Reserve Bank of New Zealand)αααααααα αααα·ααααααααΆαααααΆαααααα ααααααΈααααΆαααΈααΆααααΈααααα α»ααααααααααα αΆααα αααΆαααΆαααααααααααα αΆαααΈα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆαα ααααααΆααΆααα ααααααααΌαααααα‘ααααα αΈαα»α α¬α±ααααααΆααα αΈαα»ααα αα·ααα αααααΆααααΆααΆααα½α αα·ααααΆααΆααα½ααααα 9οΈβ£ α’ααααΆααΆαααααΆααααααα·ααααααααααΆααΆααααααΆαα’αΊααα»α (European Central Bank Refinancing Rate)αα·ααααααααααααααα ααααΆαααααΆαααα αααααΆαα·ααααααα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆαα (Overnight Rate) ααααααΆααΆααααααΆαααααααααααα’ααααααα (BOE) ααααααααα ααααααααααΆαααα α·ααααααααα»ααΆααΆααα αΈαα»αααΈαααΆααΆααααααΆαααααααααααα’αααααααα π α’ααααΆααΆαααααΆααααααΌαααΆααααααααΆααΆαα’ααααααα (Bank of England Official Bank Rate)αα·ααααααααααααααα ααααΆαααααΆααααα αα·αααααααααααΆαα·ααααααα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆαα(Overnight rate) ααααααΆααΆααααααΆαααααααααααα’ααααααα (BOE) ααααααααα ααααααααααΆαααα α·ααααααααα»ααΆααΆααα αΈαα»αααΈαααΆααΆααααααΆαααααααααααα’αααααααα | English Below |1οΈβ£ Nonfarm PayrollNonfarm payroll is released monthly and on the first Friday after the month ends. Nonfarm payroll represents the net changes in employment jobs. 2οΈβ£ US Federal Reserve BankUS Federal Reserve Bank is scheduled 8 times per year. It is the overnight interest rate at which depository institutions lend and borrow to other institutions. 3οΈβ£ US Inflation Report (Consumer Price Index-CPI)US Inflation Report (CPI) is released monthly and on the first Friday after the month ends. Nonfarm payroll represents the net changes in employment jobs. 4οΈβ£ US Producer Price Index (Producer Price Index-PPI)US Producer Price Index is released monthly. It is a leading indicator of inflationary pressures at the producer level and can influence consumer prices. 5οΈβ£Β Consumer Confidence Index (Consumer Confidence Index-CCI)Consumer Confidence Index is released monthly by the Conference Board. It measures consumer sentiment and confidence in the state of the economy. 6οΈβ£Β Bank of Canada overnight rateThe Bank of Canada overnight rate is scheduled 8 times per year. It is the overnight rate that major financial institutions lend and borrow between themselves. 7οΈβ£ US Gross Domestic Product-GDPUS GDP is released quarterly. It is the monetary value of all goods and services produced in the US over a specified period. 8οΈβ£ Reserve Bank of New ZealandThis data is released monthly about 8 days after the month ends. It releases the Interest rate that banks borrow or lend to each other. 9οΈβ£ European Central Bank Refinancing Rate European Central Bank refinancing rate is scheduled 8 times per year. It is the rate on the main refinancing operations offering liquidity to the financial system. πΒ Bank of England Official Bank RateBank of England’s official bank rate is released monthly. It is the overnight rate that the BOE lends to financial institutions.
Understanding about Building Permits
βοΈ αααααΉαααααΆαα– Building Permits Survey (BPS) ααΊααΆααΆααααααααα·αααα αΆααααααααααΎα‘αΎααααααΆαα·ααΆαααααααΏααα ααααα’αΆαααα·αα ααΆααααααααα·αααααΊααΎααααΈααΆαααΆαααΌαα ααα½αααααΆαα’αα»ααααΆαααΆαααααααα ααααααααααΆαα·ααΆααααα»αααααααααααΆααααΆαααΆαααααααα ααΆαα―αααααααΈαα– ααΆααααααααα½ααα Building Permits ααΊα’αΆαααααααΎααΈααΆααααΆαααααα ααΌααΆαααααααααααααααααΆα ααΆαα’αα»ααααΆααααα»αααΆαααΆααααααααα½ααααα αΌαααΆαα α’αΆαα ααααΉα ααΆααα½ααα»α αααααααααα»ααααααα₯ααααα ααααααααααΆααααΉα αα·ααα·αα·αα’αα»ααααΆαααΆααααααΌαααααΆαα– ααααααααααααααα·α αα ααααΎααααααΆαα αα·αααααΌαααΈααααα ααΈααααΆαα’α αααααααα α’ααααΆααΆαααααΆαα αα·αααααααααΆα αα·ααααααααααααα·αααααααααΆαα·ααΆα ααΊααΆαααααΆααααΆαααααααΆαα₯αααα·ααααΎααΆααααααα α α·ααααααα»αααΆαα’αα»ααααΆαααΆααααα– ααΆααααααΆαααα Building Permitsα βοΈ ααααααααααΈ Building Permits1. ααΎα’αααΈαα ααΆ Building Permits?Building Permits α¬ααΆααΆααΆαααααα α ααΆ αα·αα·αα’αα»ααααΆαααΆαααα ααΊααΆα―αααΆαααααΌαααΆα α¬ααΆαα’αα»ααααΆααααα ααααααααααΆαα·ααΆααααα»αααααα α¬α’αΆααααΆααααΆααααααα ααααααααααΆαα’αα»ααααΆαααααα»αααα α’αααααΆα α¬α’αααααΆα ααΎααααΈα’αα»ααααααΆαααΆαααα ααΆααα½ααα»α α¬ααααααα’ααΆααααααααααααααααα αααα»αααααααααααΆααααααΆααα ααΆαα’αα»ααααΆααααααΆααααααΆααααΌαααΆαααΆαααΆαααΎααααΈααΆααΆααΆαααααααΆαααΆαααααααααΆαα’αα»αααααΆααααααΌαα’ααΆαααΌαααααΆα αααααααααααα·ααααα αααααααΆααα»ααααα·ααΆα αα·αα αααΆααααΆααααΆαααααααααα 2. Building Permits ααΎααα½ααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα αααΆαααΆααα Building Permits ααΊααΆααΌα ααΆαα αααααΆααααααααΎαααααΌαααΆαααΈααααΆαα’α ααααααααααΆααααα αα α»αααααα ααααααααααααΆαααΆααααααααΌαααΆααααααΎαααΎαααΈααΆαα’αα»ααααα§ααααΆα αααααααααααΆαααα’ααΆααα αααααααα αααααααα Building Permits ααΊααΎααααΈααΆαααααααααΈααΆαααΉαααΆαααααΈααααΆααααα ααΆαααΆαα· αα·αααααΆαααΆαααααααα·α αα ααΆαα·ααΆααααΌαα βοΈ αααααΆαααααα₯αααα·ααααα Building PermitsααΆαααααααααααΊααΆαααααΆααααΆααααααααΆαα₯αααα·ααααΎααΆααααααα α α·ααααααααααΆαα’αα»ααααΆαααΆααααα– ααααααααααααααα·α αα α Building Permits ααΊααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα αααααΆαααααααΎαα»αααΆαααααααα·α αα ααΆααααΌααα αααα»αααααα ααααα½ααααα αΌαααΌααααααΆαα½αα ααα½αααΌα ααΆααααΎα GDP, α’ααααΆααΆαααΆα, αα·ααααα»αα α·αααααααα’αααααααΎααααΆαα ααααααααΆααΆαααααα’αΆα ααα₯αααα·ααααααααααααΆααααααα αα αααα»αα’αα‘α»ααααααααααΎαααααααα·α αα ααΆααΏααααΊαααααααΆααααααΌαααΆαααΆααααααΎαα‘αΎααααααΆααααααααααΆααααααααΈα αααααΆαα±ααααΆαααΆαα’αα»ααααΆαααΆααααααΆααααα αααΎαα – ααααΎααααααΆαα αα·αααααΌαααΈαααααα ααααΎααααααΆαα αα·αααΆαα’αα·ααααααααΌαααΈαααααα’αΆα αααα»αα±ααααΆααααααΌαααΆαα’ααΆααααα ααΆα αα·αααΆαα·αααααααααααΈα ααααααααΆαα±ααααΆααααααΌαααΆαααααααααα»αααΆαα’αα»ααααΆαααΆααααα – ααΈααααΆαα’α ααααααααα ααααΆαααΆαααααΈααααΆαα’α αααααααα αα½αααΆαααααααΌαααΆααααα ααΆα αα·ααααααα’α ααααααααα’αΆα ααα₯αααα·ααααΎα ααα½ααα·αα·αα’αα»ααααΆαααΆαααααααα αααααααΆααααΆαα’αα·αααααααα ααΆαααααΈ α¬ααΆααα½ααα»ααααα ααΆα α¬α’ααΆαα αΆαααα – α’ααααΆααΆαααααΆααα α’ααααΆααΆαααααΆααααΆαα’αΆα αααα»αα±ααααα αΆααα’α ααααααααα±ααααααΎααΆααα·αα·αααααΎααααααααΆαααα αααααΆαα±ααααΆαα ααα½ααααα»αααΆαα’αα»ααααΆαααΆααααααΎαα‘αΎααααααα – ααααααααΆα αα·ααααααααααααα·αααααααααΆαα·ααΆαα ααΆαααααΆααααααΌααααααααααααα·αααα»αααΆααααααααααα αααααΌαα’ααΆα αα·αααααα’αα»ααααΆαααΆαααα α’αΆα ααα₯αααα·αααααααΆαααΆααααα½αααααΆαααα½αααΆααα·αα·αα’αα»ααααΆαααΆαααα αα·αααΆαα₯αααα·ααααΎαα·ααααΆααΆαααΆααααααΆαααΆαααααααα βοΈ α ααα»α’αααΈααΆαααΆαα·αααααα Building Permits ααΆαααΆααααααΆαα?Building Permits ααΆαααΆααααααΆααααΆαα αααααααΆα’αΆα ααΆααΆααΆαααΆααααααααΆααααααΈαα½ααααΆαα’αα»αααααΆαα αααΆαααα»ααααα·ααΆα αααααααααααα· αα·ααααααααΆααα»αααΆαααααΆαααΆααααα αααααΆααα·αααα Building Permits ααααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα ααααααα»ααααα αΆααααΈαααααααΆαααααα αα·ααα·ααααΆααΆαααααααα·α αα ααΆααααα αα α»αααααα αα·αα’ααΆααααααα ααΆααΎααΆαααΆαααΈαα ααααΎα α¬ααα α»ααα αααα»ααα·ααααααααα βοΈ ααΎαα·αααααα Building Permits α ααααααΆααα αααααΆ?Building permits ααααΌαααΆαα ααααααΆααα αααααΆααααΆαααααααΆαααααΈαα½αα ααααΆαααα 8:30 ααααΉα ET αααα ααααααΆααααααΆαα·ααΆαααααααΏα αα·α ααΆαα·ααΆαααααΆαα’αα·αααααααα ααααΆα αα·αααΈαααα»ααα α―αα ααααα’αΆαααα·α (HUD) α βοΈ αα·ααααααα ααααααΆαααααΈαU.S. Building Permits: 1,496M (α§αααΆ 2023) β 1,354M (ααααΆ 2023) | English Version |βοΈ Key takeaway– The Building Permits Survey (BPS) is a monthly survey conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. The survey tracks the number of building permits issued by local governments for new privately-owned residential construction.– The necessity for building permits varies depending on the location, and while specific requirements differ, some permits are commonly required across different areas. These include permits for pools, foundation repairs, fuel storage, fire sprinkler systems, and the fundamental permit for the building itself.– Economic Conditions, Population Growth and Urbanization, Real Estate Market, Interest Rates and Government Policies and Regulations are key factors that influence the decision to grant building permits.– The importance of building permits. βοΈ Understand about Building Permits1. What are building permits?A building permit is an official document or authorization issued by a local government or relevant authority that grants permission to an individual, organization, or entity to undertake construction, renovation, or other types of building projects within a specified area. This permit is typically required to ensure that construction activities comply with local building codes, zoning regulations, safety standards, and other applicable laws. 2. Building permits as an economic indicatorThe Building Permits report stands as a leading economic indicator, assessing the present real estate market demand while offering glimpses into future construction industry performance. Its primary purpose is to measure the robustness of the national housing market and the broader economic landscape. βοΈ Factors influencing Building PermitsHere are key factors that influence the decision to grant building permits:– Economic Conditions: The overall economic health of a region, including factors like GDP growth, employment rates, and consumer confidence, can affect construction activity. During periods of economic growth, there’s often increased demand for new construction projects, leading to more building permits being issued. – Population Growth and Urbanization: Rapid population growth or urbanization can drive the need for new residential and commercial structures, resulting in higher demand for building permits. – Real Estate Market: The state of the real estate market, including housing demand and property values, can influence the number of building permits issued for new residential developments or renovations. – Interest Rates: Low interest rates can incentivize property owners to invest in construction projects, leading to an uptick in building permit applications. – Government Policies and Regulations: Changes in zoning regulations, building codes, and permit fees can impact the ease of obtaining building permits and influence construction trends. βοΈ Why is the Building Permits data important?Building permits are vital as they ensure construction projects comply with safety codes, regulations, and quality standards. They serve as a leading economic indicator, reflecting construction activity and economic trends. βοΈ When is the Building Permits data released?Building permits are released around the middle of each month, at 8:30 a.m. ET by the Census Bureau and United States Department of Housing and Urban Developmentβ (HUD). βοΈ Recent updatesU.S. Building Permits: 1,496M (May 2023) β 1,354M (January 2023
Understanding about Existing Home Sales
βοΈ αααααΉαααααΆαα– Existing Home Sales ααΊαααα ααΎααΆαααααααααααααΆααααααΈαα»α ααα»αααααα·αααΆαααααα αΌααααααααααΎαααΆααααααααΈααααααα– ααααααααααααααα·α αα , ααααΎααααααΆαα αα·αααααΌαααΈααααα,ααΈααααΆαα’α αααααααα, α’ααααΆααΆαααααΆαα, ααααααααΆα αα·ααααααααααααα·αααααααααΆαα·ααΆα ααΊααΆαααααΆααααΆααααααααΆαα₯αααα·ααααΎ Existing Home Salesα– ααΆααααααΆαααα Existing Home Sales βοΈ ααααααααααΈ Existing Home SalesExisting Home Sales ααΊααΆαααΆαααΆααααααααΆαααααααΎα ααα½αααααααα·ααααα·ααΆααααααΆααααα αααααααΆαααααααααα½ααΆααααα½α ααΈααααα»ααα αα»αααΌ αα·αα’ααΆααα ααααα·ααααα· αααα»αααααααααΆααααΆααααΆαα½αα ααΆααααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα ααααααααααΆααααααΉαα’αααΈαα»αααΆαααααΈααααΆααααα ααΆα αα·ααααααααΆαααααααα·α αα ααΆααααΌααααααα α¬ Existing Home Sales ααΊαααα ααΎααΆαααααααααααααΆααααααΈαα»α ααα»αααααα·αααΆαααααα αΌααααααααααΎαααΆααααααααΈααααααα βοΈ αααααΆαααααα₯αααα·ααααα Existing Home SalesααΆαααααααααααΊααΆαααααΆααααΆααααααααΆαα₯αααα·ααααΎ Existing Home Salesα– ααααααααααααααα·α αα α Existing Home Sales ααΊααΆααΌα ααΆααααααααα·α αα αααααΆαααααααΎαα»αααΆαααααααα·α αα ααΆααααΌααα αααα»αααααα ααααα½ααααα αΌαααΌααααααΆαα½αα ααα½αααΌα ααΆααααΎα GDP, α’ααααΆααΆαααΆα, αα·ααααα»αα α·αααααααα’αααααααΎααααΆαα ααααααααΆααΆαααααα’αΆα ααα₯αααα·ααααααααααααΆααααααα – ααααΎααααααΆαα αα·αααααΌαααΈαααααα ααααΎααααααΆαα αα·αααΆαα’αα·ααααααααΌαααΈαααααα’αΆα αααα»αα±ααααΆααααααΌαααΆαα’ααΆααααα ααΆα αα·αααΆαα·αααααααααααΈα ααααααααΆαα±ααααΆααααααΌαααΆαααααααααα»αααΆααα·αααααα – ααΈααααΆαα’α ααααααααα ααααΆαααΆαααααΈααααΆαα’α αααααααα αα½αααΆαααααααΌαααΆααααα ααΆα αα·ααααααα’α ααααααααα’αΆα ααα₯αααα·ααααΎα ααα½ααααααααααΆαααααα½α α – α’ααααΆααΆαααααΆααα α’ααααΆααΆαααααΆααααΆαα’αΆα αααα»αα±ααααα αΆααα’α ααααααααααααΎααΆααα·αα·αααααΎααααααααΆαααα αααααΆαα±ααααΆααααααΌαααΆααα·αααααααΎαα‘αΎααααααα βοΈ α ααα»α’αααΈααΆαααΆαα·αααααα Existing Home Sales ααΆαααΆααααααΆαα?Existing Home Sales ααΆαααΆααααααΆαα αααααΆαααα– ααΆα’αΆα αααααααΌαααΆααααααΉαααααΆααααααα αααααα»αααΆαααα§ααααΆα ααααααααα αα·αααΈααααΆααααα ααΆαα– ααΆααααΎα±ααααΆαααααΎαααααααα·α αα ααΆααααααΆααααααΎαααΆαααΆα αααα»αα±ααααΆααααααΌαααΆααααααΆααααααα αα·αααα·αααααΆαααααααααααααααα– ααΆαααααααΌαααΆααααααΉαα’αααΈααααααΆαααααΆαααααααα ααΆα αα·αααααααΆαααααΆααααααα α·αααααααααΆααααα αΈαα·αααααα βοΈ αα·ααααααα ααααααΆαααααΈαU.S. Building Permits: 4.55M (αα»αααα 2023) β 4.0M (ααααΆ 2023) | English Version |βοΈ Key takeaway– The Existing Home Sales is a report that refers to the sale of previously constructed homes, as opposed to newly constructed homes.– Economic conditions, population growth and urbanization, real estate market, interest rates, and government policies and regulations are the factors that influence Existing Home Sales.– The importance of Existing Home Sales βοΈ Understand about Existing Home SalesExisting Home Sales is a report that measures the number of completed transactions for single-family homes, townhouses, condominiums, and co-ops (cooperative apartments) within a specific period. As an economic indicator, existing home sales report is a crucial economic indicator that provides insights into the health of the housing market and overall economic activity. βοΈ Factors influencing Existing Home SalesHere are key factors that influence the Existing Home Sales:– Economic Conditions: The overall economic health of a region, including factors like GDP growth, employment rates, and consumer confidence, can affect construction activity. – Population Growth and Urbanization: Rapid population growth or urbanization can drive the need for new residential and commercial structures, resulting in higher demand for buying existing homes. – Real Estate Market: The state of the real estate market, including housing demand and property values, can influence the number of houses that already built. – Interest Rates: Low interest rates can incentivize property owners to invest in construction projects, leading to an uptick in housing demand. βοΈ Why is the Existing Home Sales data important?Existing Home Sales data important because:– It reflects the strength of consumer spending and borrowing patterns.– Increase in home sales leads to additional spending on home improvements, furniture and appliances.– Strong growth of existing home sales is dollar bullish.– A decline in existing home sales over several months is dollar bearish (this would cause interest rates to fall which weakens demand for the dollar). βοΈ Recent updatesU.S. Building Permits: 4.55M (Feb 2023) β 4.0M (January 2023)
Understanding about Mortgage Rate
βοΈ αααααΉαααααΆαα– α’ααααΆαααα αΈαα·ααααα ααΊααΆα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆαααααα’αααα±ααααα αΈαα·αααααΆααααΈα’αααααα αΈαααααΆααααΆαααααΎααααΆααααΌααα·αα·ααΎααααΈαα·ααααα α¬α’α ααααααααααααααααα– α’ααααΆαααα αΈαα·αααααααααΌαααΆαααα₯αααα·αααααααΆααα½ααααα αΌαααααΆαααααααΆααααααα·α αα α α·ααααααααα» αα·ααααααΆαααααααααα– ααααα·αααΎα’ααααΆαααα αΈαα·αααααααΎαα‘αΎα αααααααααΎαααααΆαααα αΈααααΆααααΉαααΎαα‘αΎα αααααΆαα±ααα’ααααΆααΆααααα αΆαααααααααααΌαα’αααααα αΈααΉαααΎαα‘αΎαααΌα ααααΆα– ααααα·αααΎα’ααααΆαααα αΈαα·αααααααΆαααΆαααα α»α αααααααααΎαααααΆαααα αΈααααΆααααΉαααα α»α αααααΆαα±ααα’ααααΆαααα αΆαααααααααααΌαα’αααααα αΈααΉαααα α»αααΌα ααααΆα– ααΆαααΆαααΆααα·ααααααα’ααααΆααααΆαααααα αΈαα·αααααααΆαααΆααααααΆααααΆαααααααΆααααΆαααΆααααααααΎααααααΆαααα½αααΆα αα·αααααααΎαααα»ααααααα αΈαα·αααααα βοΈ ααααααααααΈ Mortgage Rateα’ααααΆαααα αΈαα·ααααα ααΊααΆα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆαααααα’αααα±ααααα αΈαα·αααααΆααααΈα’αααααα αΈαααααΆααααΆαααααΎααααΆααααΌααα·αα·ααΎααααΈαα·ααααα α¬α’α ααααααααααααααααα αα ααααααααααΆααααΆααααααΎααΆαααα αΈααααΆαααα·ααααααα½α ααααα½αααααΆαααααααααααα»αααααααΆαααααα αΈ αα½αααΆαα½αααΉαααΆαααααΆαααααα»αααααααααΆααααΆαααα½α αααααΆααααααΆααΆαααααααα αΆααααΈ 15 αα 30 ααααΆαα ααΌα ααα α’ααααΆαααα αΈαα·αααααααΊααΆααΆααααααα αΆαααααΆαααα ααα½αααααΆαααααα αΈαααα’αααααα αΈααααΌααααα±ααααα αΆαααα»αααααααααΈααΎααααΆααααΎααααααΆαααα αΈα βοΈ αααααΆαααααα₯αααα·ααααΎ Mortgage Rateα’ααααΆααααΆαααααα αΈαα·αααααααααΌαααΆαααα₯αααα·ααααΈααΆααα½ααααα αΌαααααΆαααααααΆααααααα·α αα α α·ααααααααα» αα·ααααααΆααααΆαααααααααααα ααΆαααααααααααΊααΆαααααΆααααΆααααα½αα ααα½ααααα’αΆα ααΆαα₯αααα·ααααΎα’ααααΆααααΆαααααα αΈαα·αααααααΆααα½αααΆαα– ααααααααααααααα·α αα α ααααΆαααΆαααααααα·α αα ααΆααααΌα αα½αααΆαααααααΆαα½αα ααα½αααΌα ααΆααααΎα GDP α’ααααΆα’ααααΆαααΆαααααΎ αα·αα’αα·ααααΆ α’αΆα αααααΆαααααα’ααααΆαααα αΈαα·αααααα αα ααααααααααααα·α αα ααΆαααΆαααΉαααΆα αα·αααΈαα ααααΎα α’ααααΆαααα αΈαα·αααααααΆααα·ααααΆααΆαααΎαα‘αΎααααααΆααααααααΌαααΆαααααααΆαααααα αΈααΎαα‘αΎαααΌα ααααΆα αααα»ααα αα·α αααα»αα’αα‘α»ααααααααααα·α αα ααααΆααα α»α α’ααααΆαααα αΈαα·αααααα’αΆα ααα α»αααΌα ααααΆααααα αααααααα»αα±ααααΆαααα αΈααααΆαα αα·αααΆαα αααΆαααΆαααΆαααα α»ααααααα – ααααααααΆααααααααΆααΆααααααΆαα ααααααααΆαααΌαα·αααααα»αααααααΆααΆααααααΆαααΌα ααΆ αααΆααΆααααααΆααα ααααα’αΆαααα·α ααΎααα½αααΆαααααΆαααααα»αααΆααααααα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆαααααα»αααααααααααΈα ααΆαααααΆααααααΌαα’ααααΆααΌααα·αα·αα ααααα αααααΆα’ααααΆααααααΆααΆααααααααααΆαααααα αΈαααααααΆαα αα·ααα ααα’αΆα ααΆαα₯αααα·ααααΎα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆαααααΆαααααΆαα αα½αααΆααα’ααααΆααααΆαααααα αΈαα·ααααααααααα – αααααΌαααΆαααΈααααΆα αα·αααΆαααααααααααα αααααΌαααΆααααα αΈαα·ααααα αα·αααΆαααααααααααααΌααα·αα·ααΈα’αααα±ααααα αΈα’αΆα ααΆαα₯αααα·ααααΎα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆααα ααααα·αααΎααΆααααααΌαααΆαα αααΎααααα»αααΆααααα αΆα αααα’ααααΆαααα αΈααααΆααααΉαααΎαα‘αΎαααΌα ααααΆ ααααααααααααααΌαααΆααααα»αααΆααααα αΆαααααΆααα α»α α’αΆα ααααΎα±ααα’ααααΆαααα αΈααααΆααααΉαααααΆααα α»αααΌα ααααΆαααααα ααΌα ααααΆαααααα αα ααααααα’ααααααααααααΆαααααα αΈααΆαααΌααα·αα·α αααΎαααΎααααΈαααααααααΆαααααα αΈ αααα’αΆα ααΉαααΆααααααΆαααααα½ααααααααααα»αααΆααααααα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆααααΆααΎααβοΈ ααΆαααα₯αααα·ααααΈ Mortgage RateααΈααααΆαα’α αααααααα (ααΌα ααΆαααα…) α’αΆα ααΉαααΆαααΆααααααααα½ααααααΆααααΈαα·ααααααααα’ααααΆααααΆαααααα αΈαα·αααααααΆαααΆαααΎαα‘αΎα αα·αααα α»αα– ααααα·αααΎα’ααααΆααααΆαααααα αΈαα·αααααααΆαααΆαααΎαα‘αΎα αααααααααΎαααααααΆαααααα αΈααααΎαα‘αΎαααΌα ααααΆα ααΌα ααααααΆα’αΆα ααΆααααααααααααΌαααΆααααα»αααΆααα·ααααα ααΆα αα·αααααΎα±αααααααααααααααΆααα α»ααααααα – ααα»ααααααααα·αααΎα’ααααΆααααΆαααααα αΈαα·αααααααΆαααΆαααα α»ααα·α αααααααααΎαααααααΆαααααα αΈααααα α»αααΌα ααααΆα ααΌα ααααβ ααααααααα»αααΆαααααααΆαααααααΆααα’αααααα αΈααΆααααααααΆαααΆααα»α α¬αααααΆααααΆα αααΎαααΆαααααααΆααααα»αααΆαααα αΈααααΆααααααΈ α¬ααααααααααΆαα½ααααααααααΆαααααΆαα αααα’αΆα αααααΎαα±ααααΆααααααΌαααΆααααα ααΆαα αααΎαααΆααα»α αα·αα’αΆα ααΆαα±αααααααααααααΎαα‘αΎααααααα βοΈ α ααα»α’αααΈααΆαααΆααΎαααααΌαααΆαααΆααα·αααααα Mortgage Rate?ααΆαααΆαααΆααα·ααααααα’ααααΆααααΆαααααα αΈαα·αααααααΆαααΆααααααΆααααΆαααααααΆααααΆαααΆααααααααΎααααααΆααααα’αΆα ααα½αααααΆα αα·ααααααααα»ααααααα αΈαα·αααααα αα·αααααααααα’αΆα αα½αα±ααα’ααααααα αααα·αααααααααΎααΆααααααα α α·αααααΆαααΆαααααααααΆ αααα’αΆα ααααααααααααΆααΆαααα’αααααΎα ααΎααααΈααα½αααΆαα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆααααΆα αααααΆαα±ααααΆαααΆααααααααα αααααΆααααΆααααΆαα αααΎαα ααΎαααΈααααα ααα ααΆαααΆαααΆαα’αααΈαα·ααααΆααΆαα’ααααΆααΆαααααΆαα α’αΆα αα½αα±ααα’ααααααααΆαααααα αααα·αααααα’αΆα αααα ααααααΆααααααΆααααααα α α·ααααααααα»αααα»ααααααααααααΆααααΆαααα’ αα·αα’αΆα ααααΎααΆααααααα α α·ααααα αααα»αααΆααα·αα·αααααΎαα·αααα’α ααααααααααΆααααΆαααααΉαααααΌααααααα | English Version |βοΈ Key takeaway– A mortgage rate is the rate of interest that a lender charges a borrower for the use of funds to purchase a home or other real estate property.– Mortgage rates are influenced by a combination of economic, financial, and individual factors– If the mortgage rate is increased, then there will be an increase in the cost of borrowing for lenders, which leads to a higher mortgage rates being offered to borrowers.– If the mortgage rate is decreased, then there will be a reduction in borrowing costs for lenders, which leads to a lower mortgage rates being offered to borrowers.– Monitoring mortgage rate data is crucial for assessing the affordability and total cost of a mortgage. βοΈ Understand about Mortgage RateA mortgage rate is the rate of interest that a lender charges a borrower for the use of funds to purchase a home or other real estate property. When someone takes out a mortgage loan to buy a house, they agree to repay the loan amount along with interest over a specified period, usually 15 to 30 years. The mortgage rate is the annualized percentage of the loan amount that the borrower must pay the lender in addition to repaying the principal amount borrowed. βοΈ Factors influencing Mortgage RateMortgage rates are influenced by a combination of economic, financial, and individual factors. Here are some key factors that can influence mortgage rates:– Economic Conditions: The overall state of the economy, including factors like GDP growth, unemployment rates, and inflation, can impact mortgage rates. When the economy is strong and growing, mortgage rates tend to rise due to increased demand for loans. Conversely, during economic downturns, mortgage rates might decrease to stimulate borrowing and spending. – Central Bank Policies: The monetary policies of central banks, such as the U.S. Federal Reserve, play a significant role in determining short-term interest rates. Changes in the federal funds rate, which is the rate at which banks lend to each other, can influence the broader interest rate environment, including mortgage rates. – Market Demand and Supply: The demand for mortgage loans and the supply of funds from lenders can influence rates. High demand for mortgages may lead to higher rates, while lower demand could result in lower rates. Similarly, when lenders have excess funds to lend, rates might be more competitive.βοΈ The effects of Mortgage RateThere are several effects on the housing economy after an increase or decrease in the mortgage rate:– So, if the mortgage rate is increased, then there will be an increase in the cost of borrowing for lenders, which leads to a higher mortgage rates being offered to borrowers. Therefore, it is expensive for the borrowers to take out new mortgage or refinance the existing ones, which can reduce the demand for housing and potentially lower house prices. – But, if the mortgage rate is decreased, then there will be a reduction in borrowing costs for lenders, which leads to lower mortgage rates being offered to borrowers. Therefore, it is cheap or more affordable for people to take out a new mortgage or refinance the existing ones, which can increase the demand for housing and potentially lead to higher house prices as well. βοΈ Why should we look at mortgage rate data?Monitoring mortgage rate data is crucial for assessing the affordability and total cost of a mortgage. It enables timely decision-making by identifying optimal times to secure lower rates, potentially leading to significant savings. Additionally, staying informed about rate trends empowers borrowers to compare lenders, plan for long-term financial goals, and make well-informed choices in the dynamic real estate market.